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The Genesis Collection + The Shadow Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +488.41₽

Invest 559.13₽

Average return 1 047.54₽

ROI +87.3%

Chance of profit 84%

With float: invest at least 1 364.10 ₽, profit at most −316.57 ₽

float premium: at least 782 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

StatTrak™ P250 | Bullfrog

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

363.68 ₽

at 45.46

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

68.54 ₽

at 68.54

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

126.91 ₽

at 126.91

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 559.13 ₽ +488.41 (+87.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −664 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ P250 | Bullfrog

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0790

90.92 ₽

at 45.46

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0790

342.70 ₽

at 68.54

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0079

380.73 ₽

at 126.91

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 814.35 ₽ +405.94 (+49.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −213 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

StatTrak™ P250 | Bullfrog

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0787

272.76 ₽

at 45.46

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0787

137.08 ₽

at 68.54

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0076

253.82 ₽

at 126.91

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 663.66 ₽ +441.46 (+66.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −762 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ P250 | Bullfrog

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0776

45.46 ₽

at 45.46

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0776

411.24 ₽

at 68.54

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0066

380.73 ₽

at 126.91

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 837.43 ₽ +411.66 (+49.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −311 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ P250 | Bullfrog

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0771

227.30 ₽

at 45.46

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0771

205.62 ₽

at 68.54

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

253.82 ₽

at 126.91

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 686.74 ₽ +447.18 (+65.1%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 68%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 32%

in profit

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

718.98 ₽ 16.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Liquidation

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 978.61 ₽ 16.00%

Steam

about break-even

worst

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Cat Fight

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

614.23 ₽ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Nova | Ocular

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

730.41 ₽ 16.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Continuum

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

650.00 ₽ 16.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

2 568.47 ₽ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 259.87 ₽ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.043399

833.30 ₽ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

1 216.60 ₽ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Genesis Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +340.61 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +479.82 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Genesis Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2978681 · The Genesis Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 479.96₽ · invest 520.78₽
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); StatTrak™ P250 | Bullfrog (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.074772
Craft 2978455 · The Genesis Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 411.84₽ · invest 649.44₽
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); StatTrak™ P250 | Bullfrog (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 8; StatTrak™ P250 | Bullfrog (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075925 instead of 0.074772

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Genesis Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build