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The Harlequin Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +71.89₽

Invest 242.54₽

Average return 314.43₽

ROI +29.6%

Chance of profit 90%

With float: invest at least 557.11 ₽, profit at most −242.69 ₽

float premium: at least 320 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +82.55 ₽ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1621

86.10 ₽

at 17.22

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

73.90 ₽

at 36.95

Steam

×1

Nova | Wurst Hölle

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1621

25.70 ₽

at 25.70

Steam

×2

Glock-18 | Teal Graf

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

56.84 ₽

at 28.42

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 242.54 ₽ +71.89 (+29.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1631

86.10 ₽

at 17.22

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

110.85 ₽

at 36.95

Steam

×1

MAC-10 | Pipsqueak

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1631

24.76 ₽

at 24.76

Steam

×1

Nova | Wurst Hölle

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1631

25.70 ₽

at 25.70

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 247.41 ₽ +75.31 (+30.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1621

68.88 ₽

at 17.22

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

36.95 ₽

at 36.95

Steam

×4

Nova | Wurst Hölle

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1621

102.80 ₽

at 25.70

Steam

×1

Glock-18 | Teal Graf

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

28.42 ₽

at 28.42

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 237.05 ₽ +60.79 (+25.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1619

68.88 ₽

at 17.22

Steam

×1

Nova | Wurst Hölle

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1619

25.70 ₽

at 25.70

Steam

×5

Glock-18 | Teal Graf

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

142.10 ₽

at 28.42

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 236.68 ₽ +52.87 (+22.3%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 10%

in profit

best

AWP | Exothermic

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.128048

455.77 ₽ 35.00%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.128048

324.63 ₽ 35.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AUG | Eye of Zapems

Field-Tested

float up to 0.155487

161.67 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

389.51 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

XM1014 | Monster Melt

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.137195

333.32 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested) × 5 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.47 86.10 → 212.67 ₽

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear) × 2 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 73.90 → 163.32 ₽

Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 25.70 → 55.51 ₽

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Minimal Wear) × 2 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 56.84 → 125.62 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.182926729

outcomes come out up to 0.128048, 0.128048, 0.155487, 0.149999, 0.137195

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Harlequin Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 6 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +31.77 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +58.60 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Harlequin Collection and The Overpass 2024 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2950965 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 86.61₽ · invest 318.20₽
pricier variants exist

SSG 08 | Hand Brake (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear), Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested), Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested): float at most 0.175923 instead of 0.162142
Craft 2980137 · The Harlequin Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 77.63₽ · invest 251.02₽
AUG | Eye of Zapems: Minimal Wear instead of Field-Tested; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested): 4 pcs instead of 5; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162630 instead of 0.162142; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074393 instead of 0.074223; Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 1; Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162630 instead of 0.162142; Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074393 instead of 0.074223
Craft 2950966 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 75.13₽ · invest 318.70₽
pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) instead of Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested), Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested): float at most 0.174587 instead of 0.162142; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078829 instead of 0.074223

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Harlequin Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

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How to build