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The Operation Riptide Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −447.42₴

Invest at least 1 479.86₴

Average return 1 032.44₴

ROI −30.2%

Chance of profit 22%

With float: invest at least 1 479.86 ₴, profit at most −447.42 ₴

float premium: at least 852 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

PP-Bizon | Lumen

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1647

43.68 ₴

at 43.68

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1647

34.76 ₴

at 34.76

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

505.96 ₴

at 63.25

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 584.40 ₴ +448.05 (+76.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

MP7 | Guerrilla

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1641

184.62 ₴

at 46.16

Steam

×2

G3SG1 | Keeping Tabs

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

246.07 ₴

at 123.04

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

252.98 ₴

at 63.25

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 683.68 ₴ +8.40 (+1.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

PP-Bizon | Lumen

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1619

43.68 ₴

at 43.68

Steam

×1

MP7 | Guerrilla

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1619

46.16 ₴

at 46.16

Steam

×1

MP9 | Dart

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

55.53 ₴

at 55.53

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

442.72 ₴

at 63.25

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 588.08 ₴ +376.29 (+64.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

PP-Bizon | Lumen

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

43.68 ₴

at 43.68

Steam

×2

MP7 | Guerrilla

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

92.31 ₴

at 46.16

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

442.72 ₴

at 63.25

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 578.71 ₴ +317.60 (+54.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

MP7 | Guerrilla

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

138.47 ₴

at 46.16

Steam

×1

AUG | Plague

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

86.99 ₴

at 86.99

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

379.47 ₴

at 63.25

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 604.93 ₴ +223.30 (+36.9%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 51%
About break-even 4%

at a loss

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.040124

360.57 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 373.30 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

1 202.93 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

125.59 ₴ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | ZX Spectron

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

304.02 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

Five-SeveN | Boost Protocol

Factory New

float up to 0.035874

481.77 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

about break-even

M4A4 | Spider Lily

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

690.00 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

270.55 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

about break-even

MP9 | Mount Fuji

Factory New

float up to 0.048124

667.45 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Operation Riptide Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Operation Riptide Collection Variant 4 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Operation Riptide Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Operation Riptide Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Operation Riptide Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +232.15 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +349.70 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Operation Riptide Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 12 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2954067 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 472.68₴ · invest 668.27₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Minimal Wear) instead of PP-Bizon | Lumen (Field-Tested); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.169802 instead of 0.164753; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076887 instead of 0.075131
Craft 2979994 · The Graphic Design Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 467.07₴ · invest 591.11₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Wild Berry (Field-Tested) instead of PP-Bizon | Lumen (Field-Tested); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161818 instead of 0.164753; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074110 instead of 0.075131
Craft 2979490 · The Glove Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 466.40₴ · invest 580.18₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested) instead of PP-Bizon | Lumen (Field-Tested); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168561 instead of 0.164753; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076456 instead of 0.075131
Craft 2988782 · The Vanguard Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 459.34₴ · invest 574.45₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested) instead of PP-Bizon | Lumen (Field-Tested); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168561 instead of 0.164753; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076456 instead of 0.075131
Craft 2983401 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 459.04₴ · invest 581.00₴
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Contaminant (Field-Tested) instead of PP-Bizon | Lumen (Field-Tested); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163150 instead of 0.164753; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074574 instead of 0.075131
Craft 2959646 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 454.36₴ · invest 692.73₴
sells slowly rare inputs

P2000 | Red FragCam (Field-Tested) instead of PP-Bizon | Lumen (Field-Tested); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163150 instead of 0.164753; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074574 instead of 0.075131
Craft 2981460 · The Huntsman Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 453.01₴ · invest 604.15₴
sells slowly rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Twist (Minimal Wear) instead of PP-Bizon | Lumen (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161805 instead of 0.164753; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074106 instead of 0.075131
Craft 2955720 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 448.56₴ · invest 749.33₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Souvenir Nova | Interlock (Minimal Wear) instead of PP-Bizon | Lumen (Field-Tested); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.169802 instead of 0.164753; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076887 instead of 0.075131
Craft 2988798 · The Vanguard Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 447.30₴ · invest 611.30₴
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear) instead of PP-Bizon | Lumen (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162887 instead of 0.164753; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074482 instead of 0.075131
Craft 2958391 · The Anubis Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 443.93₴ · invest 592.34₴
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Copper Coated (Field-Tested) instead of PP-Bizon | Lumen (Field-Tested); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168561 instead of 0.164753; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076456 instead of 0.075131
Craft 2987923 · The Shattered Web Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 441.20₴ · invest 572.38₴
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested) instead of PP-Bizon | Lumen (Field-Tested); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166424 instead of 0.164753; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075712 instead of 0.075131
Craft 2954446 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 440.00₴ · invest 630.63₴
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Full Stop (Minimal Wear) instead of PP-Bizon | Lumen (Field-Tested); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.171852 instead of 0.164753; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077600 instead of 0.075131

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Operation Riptide Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build