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The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +67.29$

Invest 200.21$

Average return 267.50$

ROI +33.6%

Chance of profit 70%

With float: invest at least 493.53 $, profit at most −226.03 $

float premium: at least 289 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +89.40 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

141.56 $

at 20.22

Steam

×3

P250 | Mehndi

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

58.65 $

at 19.55

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 200.21 $ +67.29 (+33.6%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0788

161.78 $

at 20.22

Steam

×1

P250 | Mehndi

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0788

19.55 $

at 19.55

Steam

×1

P250 | Mehndi

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0077

32.00 $

at 32.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 213.33 $ +72.12 (+33.8%)

What you get 3 outcomes

Profitable outcome 70%
Losing outcome 15%
About break-even 15%

in profit

best

AK-47 | B the Monster

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

369.56 $ 70.00%

Steam

about break-even

M4A4 | Asiimov

Field-Tested

float up to 0.251749

222.99 $ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | The Kraken

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

103.25 $ 15.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

Variant 2 only The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 3 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 4 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 6 The Spectrum Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +25.09 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +52.45 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Overpass 2024 Collection and The Winter Offensive Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2962976 · The Breakout Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 72.50$ · invest 202.54$
sells slowly rare inputs

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New), Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Field-Tested) instead of P250 | Mehndi (Minimal Wear); Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 7; Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074834 instead of 0.074468
Craft 2984517 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 64.77$ · invest 190.75$
sells slowly rare inputs

AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested), P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | Mehndi (Minimal Wear); Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 7; Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074328 instead of 0.074468

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 3 outcomes

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How to build