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The Phoenix Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +28.20₽

Invest 215.91₽

Average return 244.11₽

ROI +13.1%

Chance of profit 38%

With float: invest at least 510.59 ₽, profit at most −266.49 ₽

float premium: at least 293 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

48.57 ₽

at 48.57

Steam

×4

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

72.84 ₽

at 18.21

Steam

×5

FAMAS | 2A2F

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

94.50 ₽

at 18.90

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 215.91 ₽ +28.20 (+13.1%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 35%
Losing outcome 60%
About break-even 5%

in profit

best

MAC-10 | Derailment

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.128947

435.22 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Field-Tested

float up to 0.184210

182.16 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

float up to 0.233157

219.87 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

float up to 0.265789

257.51 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

MAC-10 | Heat

Field-Tested

float up to 0.184210

268.32 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

about break-even

SG 553 | Pulse

Field-Tested

float up to 0.192105

241.15 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

414.88 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Phoenix Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 5 only The Train 2025 Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −1.25 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +17.02 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Phoenix Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2968340 · The Chroma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 25.82₽ · invest 211.16₽
rare inputs

XM1014 | Quicksilver (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162685 instead of 0.161806; FAMAS | 2A2F (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162685 instead of 0.161806

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Phoenix Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build