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The Phoenix Collection + The Vanguard Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +206.78₴

Invest 506.12₴

Average return 712.90₴

ROI +40.9%

Chance of profit 70%

With float: invest at least 1 175.21 ₴, profit at most −462.30 ₴

float premium: at least 647 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +221.38 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

106.59 ₴

at 35.53

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

230.07 ₴

at 46.01

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

80.32 ₴

at 80.32

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MP9 | Dart

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

89.14 ₴

at 89.14

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 506.12 ₴ +206.78 (+40.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −160 ₴

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

71.06 ₴

at 35.53

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

184.06 ₴

at 46.01

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

321.30 ₴

at 80.32

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 576.41 ₴ +212.75 (+36.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −436 ₴

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1631

71.06 ₴

at 35.53

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

46.01 ₴

at 46.01

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

481.94 ₴

at 80.32

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MP9 | Dart

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

89.14 ₴

at 89.14

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 688.15 ₴ +215.41 (+31.3%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 30%
About break-even 20%

in profit

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

760.85 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Heat

Factory New

float up to 0.055555

1 076.75 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Pulse

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.127777

593.34 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

float up to 0.021111

497.57 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.032777

401.64 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.044444

1 368.10 ₴ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.037777

2 406.17 ₴ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Factory New

float up to 0.055555

506.70 ₴ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Field-Tested) × 3 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 106.59 → 240.89 ₴

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) × 5 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.47 230.07 → 568.28 ₴

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) × 1 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 80.32 → 173.50 ₴

StatTrak™ MP9 | Dart (Factory New) × 1 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 89.14 → 192.53 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.055555456

outcomes come out up to 0.149999, 0.055555, 0.127777, 0.021111, 0.032777, 0.044444, 0.037777, 0.055555

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Phoenix Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 5 only The Phoenix Collection Variant 6 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +96.74 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +198.58 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Phoenix Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2979112 · The Glove Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 180.16₴ · invest 432.09₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P2000 | Turf (Field-Tested), StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Sonar (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ MP9 | Dart (Factory New); StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161753 instead of 0.163719; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074088 instead of 0.074771
Craft 2968099 · The Chroma Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 164.15₴ · invest 457.66₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ MP9 | Dart (Factory New); StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Field-Tested): 4 pcs instead of 3; StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163673 instead of 0.163719; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 5; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074755 instead of 0.074771

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Phoenix Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

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How to build