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The Shadow Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +463.97₽

Invest 699.65₽

Average return 1 163.62₽

ROI +66.3%

Chance of profit 25%

With float: invest at least 1 632.18 ₽, profit at most −468.55 ₽

float premium: at least 890 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +835.25 ₽ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

125.68 ₽

at 31.42

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

45.95 ₽

at 45.95

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1617

63.78 ₽

at 63.78

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

464.24 ₽

at 116.06

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 699.65 ₽ +463.97 (+66.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

94.26 ₽

at 31.42

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1681

63.78 ₽

at 63.78

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

696.36 ₽

at 116.06

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 854.40 ₽ +651.59 (+76.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1653

20.84 ₽

at 20.84

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1653

63.78 ₽

at 63.78

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

928.48 ₽

at 116.06

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 013.10 ₽ +835.25 (+82.5%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 25%
Losing outcome 75%

at a loss

Galil AR | Stone Cold

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.078749

475.60 ₽ 12.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

210.97 ₽ 12.50%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.054249

453.82 ₽ 12.50%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Wingshot

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.078749

275.10 ₽ 12.50%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.040124

661.68 ₽ 12.50%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6 190.24 ₽ 12.50%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

2 207.46 ₽ 12.50%

Steam

at a loss

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

230.47 ₽ 12.50%

price without deals

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear) × 4 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 125.68 → 297.23 ₽

XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 45.95 → 99.25 ₽

MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 63.78 → 137.76 ₽

UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) × 4 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 464.24 → 1 097.93 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.087499900

outcomes come out up to 0.078749, 0.087499, 0.054249, 0.078749, 0.040124, 0.069999, 0.059499, 0.087499

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +223.01 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +356.00 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 16 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2984469 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 551.67₽ · invest 679.96₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162624 instead of 0.161700; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074391 instead of 0.074069
Craft 2951343 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 543.68₽ · invest 677.08₽
rare inputs pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.179857 instead of 0.161700; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.087555 instead of 0.074069
Craft 2978169 · The Gamma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 540.01₽ · invest 680.15₽
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear), Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163570 instead of 0.161700; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074720 instead of 0.074069
Craft 2963306 · The Breakout Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 537.67₽ · invest 799.80₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162072 instead of 0.161700; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074199 instead of 0.074069
Craft 2984471 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 520.45₽ · invest 679.96₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164343 instead of 0.161700; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074988 instead of 0.074069
Craft 2978170 · The Gamma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 508.17₽ · invest 627.87₽
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear), Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162339 instead of 0.161700; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074292 instead of 0.074069
Craft 2984468 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 507.51₽ · invest 615.20₽
rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163623 instead of 0.161700; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074738 instead of 0.074069
Craft 2986179 · The Radiant Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 488.43₽ · invest 685.32₽
rare inputs

MP9 | Shredded (Minimal Wear), MP9 | Shredded (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165050 instead of 0.161700; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075235 instead of 0.074069
Craft 2984980 · The Phoenix Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 484.77₽ · invest 715.51₽
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161579 instead of 0.161700; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074027 instead of 0.074069
Craft 2980973 · The Horizon Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 483.69₽ · invest 806.90₽
sells slowly rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear), Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Minimal Wear) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162855 instead of 0.161700; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074471 instead of 0.074069
Craft 2986180 · The Radiant Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 469.67₽ · invest 722.20₽
rare inputs

P250 | Red Tide (Minimal Wear), MP9 | Shredded (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161850 instead of 0.161700; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074121 instead of 0.074069
Craft 2984982 · The Phoenix Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 468.40₽ · invest 727.98₽
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163624 instead of 0.161700; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074738 instead of 0.074069
Craft 2964390 · The CS20 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 462.60₽ · invest 621.95₽
sells slowly rare inputs

MAC-10 | Classic Crate (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164456 instead of 0.161700; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075028 instead of 0.074069
Craft 2964391 · The CS20 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 461.99₽ · invest 569.67₽
sells slowly rare inputs

MAC-10 | Classic Crate (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162989 instead of 0.161700; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074518 instead of 0.074069
Craft 2984981 · The Phoenix Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 432.82₽ · invest 688.00₽
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161707 instead of 0.161700; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074072 instead of 0.074069
Craft 2960456 · The Ascent Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 421.00₽ · invest 720.84₽
rare inputs

MP9 | Cobalt Paisley (Minimal Wear), P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164482 instead of 0.161700; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075037 instead of 0.074069

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Shadow Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build