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The Wildfire Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −6 743.44₽

Invest at least 37 766.66₽

Average return 31 023.22₽

ROI −17.9%

Chance of profit 50%

With float: invest at least 37 766.66 ₽, profit at most −6 743.44 ₽

float premium: at least 22 223 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −15 412 ₽

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Nova | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

2 309.62 ₽

at 2 309.62

Steam

×2

AUG | Bengal Tiger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1623

1 860.00 ₽

at 930.00

Steam

×7

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

11 242.07 ₽

at 1 606.01

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 15 411.69 ₽ +15 611.53 (+101.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −17 332 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

AWP | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

11 783.24 ₽

at 1 683.32

Steam

×2

Nova | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

4 619.24 ₽

at 2 309.62

Steam

×1

AUG | Bengal Tiger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1684

930.00 ₽

at 930.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 17 332.48 ₽ +5 696.09 (+32.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −17 205 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

AWP | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

8 416.60 ₽

at 1 683.32

Steam

×3

Nova | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

6 928.86 ₽

at 2 309.62

Steam

×2

AUG | Bengal Tiger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1679

1 860.00 ₽

at 930.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 17 205.46 ₽ +6 822.44 (+39.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −16 062 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Nova | Hyper Beast

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

1 452.97 ₽

at 1 452.97

Steam

×2

AWP | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

3 366.64 ₽

at 1 683.32

Steam

×7

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

11 242.07 ₽

at 1 606.01

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 16 061.68 ₽ +12 962.88 (+80.7%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 95%
Losing outcome 5%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Jaguar

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

54 312.54 ₽ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Bullet Rain

Factory New

float up to 0.050799

19 339.33 ₽ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Fuel Injector

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

44 321.31 ₽ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

float up to 0.044799

6 345.94 ₽ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Wildfire Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 only The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +9 493.82 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +11 638.39 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Wildfire Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2981548 · The Huntsman Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 15 891.43₽ · invest 16 114.33₽
profit on prices without salesat least −16 114 ₽ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Cyrex (Factory New) instead of Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New); AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162268 instead of 0.162361; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074267 instead of 0.074299
Craft 2963385 · The Breakout Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 15 638.79₽ · invest 15 075.53₽
profit on prices without salesat least −14 247 ₽ rare inputs

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) instead of Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New); AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161909 instead of 0.162361; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074142 instead of 0.074299
Craft 2968407 · The Chroma Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 14 830.84₽ · invest 14 984.19₽
profit on prices without salesat least −13 989 ₽ rare inputs

P250 | Muertos (Factory New) instead of Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New)
Craft 2988603 · The Sport & Field Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 14 307.51₽ · invest 15 952.07₽
profit on prices without salesat least −14 513 ₽ rare inputs pricier variants exist

Galil AR | Rainbow Spoon (Factory New) instead of Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New); AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162323 instead of 0.162361; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074286 instead of 0.074299

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Wildfire Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build