The CS20 Collection + The Revolution Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −10 147.58₴

Invest at least 46 774.45₴

Average return 36 626.86₴

ROI −21.7%

Chance of profit 18%

With float: invest at least 46 774.45 ₴, profit at most −10 147.58 ₴

float premium: at least 23 859 ₴

To build: medium

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 3.1% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −6 461.95 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

1% of lots fit ≈ enough for 1 contract · medium (by listings)

×1

FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0112

2 578.41 ₴

at 2 578.41

Steam

×4

AK-47 | Head Shot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0112

17 422.87 ₴

at 4 355.72

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 20 001.28 ₴ +16 625.58 (+83.1%)

What you get 37 outcomes

Profitable outcome 56%
Losing outcome 37%
About break-even 3%
Above the Steam cap 3%

Order

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | Duct Tape

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

24 820.15 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

47 027.56 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | Overprint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

45 128.41 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Arboreal

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

12 933.72 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Turtle

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

34 915.73 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | POW!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

33 859.99 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Polygon

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

43 808.94 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Transport

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

16 471.52 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Imperial Plaid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

35 278.12 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | King Snake

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

91 834.84 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Overtake

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

24 759.65 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

10 400.62 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

71 566.19 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Buckshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13 147.88 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

42 106.84 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Mogul

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

36 904.58 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Omega

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

56 037.31 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Vice

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

263 951.84 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

90 255.37 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

24 155.77 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Emerald

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

11 142.25 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

★ Hydra Gloves | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

24 149.13 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Mangrove

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7 380.98 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Rattler

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7 356.66 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

14 012.13 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

11 033.26 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

15 432.82 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

12 997.03 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Classic Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

30 055.51 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6 926.65 ₴ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

16 890.14 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Classic Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

80 278.63 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

11 929.96 ₴ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

16 439.35 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Classic Knife | Night Stripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Classic Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife

no wear

10 365.03 ₴ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The CS20 Collection + The Revolution Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The CS20 Collection Variant 3 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The CS20 Collection Variant 4 The Clutch Collection instead of The CS20 Collection Variant 5 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The CS20 Collection Variant 6 The Arms Deal 3 Collection instead of The Revolution Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +14 516.29 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +16 164.53 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The CS20 Collection and The Revolution Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 13 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2989635 · The Revolution Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit 16 625.58₴ · invest 20 001.28₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 2990747 · The Winter Offensive Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 16 500.44₴ · invest 22 082.21₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.010394 instead of 0.011261
Craft 2990749 · The Revolution Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 16 500.44₴ · invest 22 082.21₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.010394 instead of 0.011261
Craft 2990463 · The Revolution Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit 16 276.05₴ · invest 20 884.90₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.012446 instead of 0.011261
Craft 2990465 · The Huntsman Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 16 276.05₴ · invest 20 884.90₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.012446 instead of 0.011261
Craft 2990739 · The Vanguard Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 16 150.98₴ · invest 22 431.67₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

P2000 | Fire Elemental (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.011923 instead of 0.011261
Craft 2990741 · The Revolution Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 16 150.98₴ · invest 22 431.67₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

P2000 | Fire Elemental (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.011923 instead of 0.011261
Craft 2990615 · The Revolution Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 16 145.75₴ · invest 22 436.90₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AUG | Chameleon (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New)
Craft 2990617 · The Phoenix Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 16 145.75₴ · invest 22 436.90₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AUG | Chameleon (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New)
Craft 2990723 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 16 094.49₴ · invest 22 488.16₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.010394 instead of 0.011261
Craft 2990725 · The Revolution Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 16 094.49₴ · invest 22 488.16₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.010394 instead of 0.011261
Craft 2990743 · The Wildfire Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 15 529.51₴ · invest 20 881.01₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.012146 instead of 0.011261
Craft 2990745 · The Revolution Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 15 529.51₴ · invest 20 881.01₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.012146 instead of 0.011261

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The CS20 Collection + The Revolution Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 37 outcomes

More

How to build