The Gallery Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit +145 793.69₸

Invest 419 255.95₸

Average return 565 049.64₸

ROI +34.8%

Chance of profit 62%

With float: invest at least 979 259.57 ₸, profit at most −414 209.94 ₸

float premium: at least 553 630 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 3.6% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −272 968.12 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

10% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×1

Glock-18 | Gold Toof

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0125

59 906.21 ₸

at 59 906.21

Steam

×4

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0125

359 349.74 ₸

at 89 837.44

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 419 255.95 ₸ +145 793.69 (+34.8%)

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 2.7% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −65 996 ₸

10% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×2

Glock-18 | Gold Toof

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0117

119 812.42 ₸

at 59 906.21

Steam

×3

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0117

269 512.31 ₸

at 89 837.44

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 389 324.72 ₸ +53 111.91 (+13.6%)

What you get 35 outcomes

Profitable outcome 62%
Losing outcome 35%
Above the Steam cap 4%

Order

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Crane

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

600 122.20 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Flowers

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

922 390.92 ₸ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Dragon Fists

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

775 727.10 ₸ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

★ Driver Gloves | Garden

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.64%

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Hand Sweaters

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

688 278.87 ₸ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Plum Quill

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

439 733.72 ₸ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Seigaiha

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

542 844.67 ₸ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Wave Chaser

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

771 238.65 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Lime Polycam

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

817 877.63 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Cloud Chaser

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

668 596.82 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Blackbook

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

678 096.55 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Chocolate Chesterfield

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

369 325.14 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Specialist Gloves | Pillow Punchers

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 013 028.38 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Sunburst

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

642 888.90 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Big Swell

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

587 039.77 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Violet Beadwork

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

728 001.52 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Frosty

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

785 546.66 ₸ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Blaze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

391 287.46 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Creme Pinstripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

332 484.41 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Red Racer

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

470 460.57 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Ultra Violent

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 909 888.97 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Occult

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

770 632.53 ₸ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

81 383.68 ₸ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

68 126.50 ₸ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

72 352.58 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

42 621.89 ₸ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

112 186.67 ₸ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

53 414.48 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

62 451.64 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

302 064.78 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

52 022.03 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

46 096.77 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Night Stripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

92 903.01 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

87 917.25 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Kukri Knife

no wear

41 694.57 ₸ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Gallery Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Gallery Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Gallery Collection Variant 5 The Clutch Collection instead of The Gallery Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +142 756.74 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +145 290.32 ₸ historical median

7% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Gallery Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2990055 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 158 559.66₸ · invest 426 476.65₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.012446 instead of 0.012584
Craft 2990057 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 158 559.66₸ · invest 426 476.65₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.012446 instead of 0.012584
Craft 2989979 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 145 793.68₸ · invest 419 255.95₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Gallery Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 35 outcomes

More

How to build