The Dead Hand Collection + The Glove Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −28 143.08₴

Invest at least 156 485.68₴

Average return 128 342.60₴

ROI −18.0%

Chance of profit 16%

With float: invest at least 156 485.68 ₴, profit at most −28 143.08 ₴

float premium: at least 85 712 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +70 342.75 ₴ по средним

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 4.3% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −51 889.55 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×2

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0084

17 924.23 ₴

at 8 962.12

Steam

×3

SSG 08 | Dragonfire

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0084

51 713.77 ₴

at 17 237.92

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 69 638.00 ₴ +58 704.59 (+84.3%)

What you get 46 outcomes

Profitable outcome 33%
Losing outcome 55%
About break-even 7%
Above the Steam cap 4%

Order

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Spruce DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

40 153.07 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Badlands

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

62 439.04 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Leather

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

39 621.65 ₴ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

52 055.24 ₴ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Eclipse

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

29 558.63 ₴ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Spearmint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

245 945.89 ₴ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Boom!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

72 655.51 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Cool Mint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

97 733.33 ₴ 2.50%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Lunar Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

54 153.22 ₴ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Convoy

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

67 092.58 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Crimson Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

83 486.22 ₴ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Diamondback

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

75 968.35 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

46 593.48 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

191 023.69 ₴ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 2.50%

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Foundation

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

77 683.25 ₴ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 322 241.20 ₴ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

361 021.49 ₴ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Arid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

128 613.91 ₴ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

965 728.87 ₴ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Charred

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

54 493.80 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Guerrilla

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

25 723.16 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Bronzed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

69 890.23 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

16 106.48 ₴ 2.50%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Crane

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

59 867.74 ₴ 1.82%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Flowers

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

92 017.03 ₴ 1.82%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

★ Driver Gloves | Dragon Fists

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

77 385.95 ₴ 1.82%

price without deals

Steam

★ Driver Gloves | Garden

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.82%

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Hand Sweaters

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

68 662.18 ₴ 1.82%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Plum Quill

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

43 867.51 ₴ 1.82%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Seigaiha

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

54 153.78 ₴ 1.82%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Wave Chaser

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

76 938.19 ₴ 1.82%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Lime Polycam

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

81 590.86 ₴ 1.82%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Cloud Chaser

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

66 698.72 ₴ 1.82%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

about break-even

★ Specialist Gloves | Blackbook

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

67 646.40 ₴ 1.82%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Chocolate Chesterfield

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

36 843.60 ₴ 1.82%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Pillow Punchers

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

200 818.20 ₴ 1.82%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Sunburst

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

64 134.11 ₴ 1.82%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Big Swell

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

58 562.65 ₴ 1.82%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

about break-even

★ Sport Gloves | Violet Beadwork

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

72 624.89 ₴ 1.82%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

about break-even

★ Sport Gloves | Frosty

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

78 365.55 ₴ 1.82%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Blaze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

39 034.54 ₴ 1.82%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Creme Pinstripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

33 168.40 ₴ 1.82%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Red Racer

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

46 932.79 ₴ 1.82%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Ultra Violent

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

190 529.09 ₴ 1.82%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Occult

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

76 877.72 ₴ 1.82%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Glove Collection

Variant 2 only The Glove Collection Variant 3 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Breakout Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Chroma Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +56 996.52 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +58 552.88 ₴ historical median

9% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Glove Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 19 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2989991 · The Glove Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 58 704.59₴ · invest 69 638.00₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 2990395 · The eSports 2013 Winter Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 46 640.41₴ · invest 64 294.02₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.005334 instead of 0.008445
Craft 2990396 · The Glove Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 46 640.41₴ · invest 64 294.02₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.005334 instead of 0.008445
Craft 2990355 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 46 601.73₴ · invest 69 132.80₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New)
Craft 2990356 · The Glove Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 46 601.73₴ · invest 69 132.80₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New)
Craft 2989713 · The Glove Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit 45 939.82₴ · invest 64 621.53₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.006756 instead of 0.008445
Craft 2989714 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 45 939.82₴ · invest 64 621.53₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.006756 instead of 0.008445
Craft 2990365 · The Prisma Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 45 558.84₴ · invest 60 503.99₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007628 instead of 0.008445
Craft 2990366 · The Glove Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 45 558.84₴ · invest 60 503.99₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007628 instead of 0.008445
Craft 2990319 · The Glove Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 45 327.23₴ · invest 65 691.81₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.006963 instead of 0.008445
Craft 2990320 · The Gamma Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 45 327.23₴ · invest 65 691.81₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.006963 instead of 0.008445
Craft 2989455 · The Glove Collection + The Arms Deal 3 Collection · profit 45 293.92₴ · invest 65 640.50₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007796 instead of 0.008445
Craft 2989456 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 45 293.92₴ · invest 65 640.50₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007796 instead of 0.008445
Craft 2989375 · The Glove Collection + The Arms Deal 2 Collection · profit 44 977.78₴ · invest 65 956.64₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.008403 instead of 0.008445
Craft 2989376 · The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 44 977.78₴ · invest 65 956.64₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.008403 instead of 0.008445
Craft 2990379 · The Shattered Web Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 44 626.44₴ · invest 61 560.47₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New)
Craft 2990380 · The Glove Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 44 626.44₴ · invest 61 560.47₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New)
Craft 2989673 · The Glove Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit 44 287.13₴ · invest 66 274.22₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.006469 instead of 0.008445
Craft 2989674 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 44 287.13₴ · invest 66 274.22₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.006469 instead of 0.008445

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Glove Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 46 outcomes

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How to build