The Breakout Collection + The Falchion Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit · with float −13 475.60₴

Invest 27 829.91₴

Average return 14 354.31₴

ROI −48.4%

Chance of profit 15%

With float: invest 27 829.91 ₴, profit −13 475.60 ₴

float premium: none: float doesn't matter

To build: easy

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 7.7% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −17 298.53 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items

Buy on Sell on

How to build

100% of lots fit ≈ enough for 5 contracts · easy (by listings)

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov

Well-Worn

any lot

9 318.69 ₴

at 9 318.69

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov

Battle-Scarred

any lot

9 341.42 ₴

at 9 341.42

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast

Battle-Scarred

any lot

8 978.35 ₴

at 2 992.78

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 27 638.46 ₴ −13 284.15 (−48.1%)

What you get 26 outcomes

Profitable outcome 15%
Losing outcome 74%
About break-even 3%
Above the Steam cap 8%

Order

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Fade

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.071826

not on Steam: above the cap 4.62%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Slaughter

Field-Tested

float up to 0.234456

11 648.35 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Blue Steel

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.897826

8 199.51 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Stained

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.897826

5 127.62 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.897826

7 175.30 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Forest DDPAT

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.724391

3 836.21 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Boreal Forest

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.724391

4 281.51 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Crimson Web

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.724391

8 258.85 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Night

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.724391

6 209.45 ₴ 4.62%

sell on Market.CSGO price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Scorched

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.724391

4 289.62 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Safari Mesh

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.724391

3 785.72 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Urban Masked

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.724391

5 212.82 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife

no wear

7 331.26 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Fade

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.071826

not on Steam: above the cap 3.08%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter

Field-Tested

float up to 0.234456

65 392.56 ₴ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.897826

31 544.25 ₴ 3.08%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Stained

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.897826

40 932.96 ₴ 3.08%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.897826

42 419.92 ₴ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.724391

24 522.21 ₴ 3.08%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.724391

24 692.52 ₴ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.724391

26 444.83 ₴ 3.08%

sell on CSFloat price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Night

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.724391

24 294.47 ₴ 3.08%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Scorched

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.724391

19 249.21 ₴ 3.08%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Safari Mesh

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.724391

31 147.16 ₴ 3.08%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.724391

29 333.10 ₴ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife

no wear

46 862.39 ₴ 3.08%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Well-Worn) × 1 100% of the wear range fits ×0.97 9 318.69 → 9 065.22 ₴

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) × 1 100% of the wear range fits ×1.01 9 341.42 → 9 428.29 ₴

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) × 3 100% of the wear range fits ×1.04 8 978.35 → 9 336.59 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.897826087

outcomes come out up to 0.071826, 0.234456, 0.897826, 0.897826, 0.897826, 0.724391, 0.724391, 0.724391, 0.724391, 0.724391, 0.724391, 0.724391, 0.000000, 0.071826, 0.234456, 0.897826, 0.897826, 0.897826, 0.724391, 0.724391, 0.724391, 0.724391, 0.724391, 0.724391, 0.724391, 0.000000

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

No other variants in this recount

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −14 572.39 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −13 383.16 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 26 outcomes

More

How to build