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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Control Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Average profit +30.54₽

Invest 141.02₽

Average return 171.56₽

ROI +21.7%

Chance of profit 32%

With float: invest at least 316.80 ₽, profit at most −145.24 ₽

float premium: at least 154 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

Souvenir P250 | Drought

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

24.78 ₽

at 4.13

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

35.28 ₽

at 11.76

souvenirSteam

×1

XM1014 | Charter

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

80.96 ₽

at 80.96

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 141.02 ₽ +30.54 (+21.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

Souvenir P250 | Drought

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

24.78 ₽

at 4.13

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

23.52 ₽

at 11.76

souvenirSteam

×1

CZ75-Auto | Jungle Dashed

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1615

76.15 ₽

at 76.15

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Charter

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

83.37 ₽

at 83.37

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 207.82 ₽ +11.78 (+5.7%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 33%
Losing outcome 68%

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Factory New

float up to 0.058333

119.25 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

128.36 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | CaliCamo

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

208.81 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P90 | Verdant Growth

Factory New

float up to 0.054833

111.79 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

Desert Eagle | The Bronze

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

2 044.63 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Switch Board

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.075833

235.19 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

MAG-7 | Carbon Fiber

Factory New

float up to 0.013999

238.09 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

MP5-SD | Nitro

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.146333

259.98 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Control Collection

Variant 2 The Safehouse Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 3 The Train Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 4 The Lake Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 5 The Lake Collection instead of The Control Collection Variant 6 The Chop Shop Collection instead of The Control Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −4.56 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +14.01 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Control Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3000757 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Control Collection · profit 33.80₽ · invest 143.43₽
rare inputs

XM1014 | Charter (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Charter (Minimal Wear); Dual Berettas | Switch Board: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078675 instead of 0.075058; Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Factory New): float at most 0.000365 instead of 0.004426

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Control Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build