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The Breakout Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +30.32₴

Invest 81.01₴

Average return 111.32₴

ROI +37.4%

Chance of profit 46%

With float: invest at least 200.39 ₴, profit at most −89.07 ₴

float premium: at least 108 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ P2000 | Ivory

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1627

17.64 ₴

at 17.64

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Necro Jr.

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1627

4.25 ₴

at 4.25

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Necro Jr.

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

59.12 ₴

at 7.39

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 81.01 ₴ +30.32 (+37.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −8 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ P2000 | Ivory

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1708

52.92 ₴

at 17.64

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Necro Jr.

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0772

36.95 ₴

at 7.39

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0063

28.24 ₴

at 14.12

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 118.10 ₴ +4.81 (+4.1%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 46%
Losing outcome 54%

at a loss

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Space Cat

Factory New

float up to 0.061710

80.55 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Dream Glade

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.092105

39.26 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Night Terror

Factory New

float up to 0.064473

196.51 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ USP-S | Ticket to Hell

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

239.77 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive

Factory New

float up to 0.046052

50.65 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Osiris

Factory New

float up to 0.046052

201.63 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Tigris

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.092105

180.55 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Nova | Koi

Factory New

float up to 0.027631

192.12 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P250 | Supernova

Factory New

float up to 0.036842

177.81 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Variant 2 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 4 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 5 The Genesis Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Breakout Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +14.34 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +25.44 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Dreams & Nightmares Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

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How to build