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The Control Collection + The Lake Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Average profit +0.93$

Invest 3.57$

Average return 4.51$

ROI +26.2%

Chance of profit 63%

With float: invest at least 7.97 $, profit at most −3.46 $

float premium: at least 4 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +1.75 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

XM1014 | Charter

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

2.01 $

at 1.01

Steam

×6

G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

0.25 $

at 0.04

Steam

×2

G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0606

1.31 $

at 0.66

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3.57 $ +0.93 (+26.2%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 63%
Losing outcome 37%

in profit

AWP | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

5.87 $ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

PP-Bizon | Night Ops

Factory New

float up to 0.008108

0.21 $ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Mudder

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4.78 $ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Cyanospatter

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

5.63 $ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

XM1014 | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

0.67 $ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Desert Eagle | The Bronze

Factory New

float up to 0.004054

24.69 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Switch Board

Factory New

float up to 0.008783

5.99 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAG-7 | Carbon Fiber

Factory New

float up to 0.001621

2.88 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

MP5-SD | Nitro

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

15.17 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Control Collection + The Lake Collection

Variant 2 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Control Collection Variant 3 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Lake Collection Variant 4 The Train Collection instead of The Lake Collection Variant 5 The Train Collection instead of The Control Collection Variant 6 only The Lake Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −0.02 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +0.50 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Control Collection and The Lake Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3000108 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Lake Collection · profit 1.08$ · invest 1.21$
rare inputs

Souvenir MP7 | Prey (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Charter (Factory New), G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed (Factory New); G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 6; G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078778 instead of 0.074852
Craft 3005334 · The Anubis Collection + The Lake Collection · profit 0.86$ · invest 1.68$
sells slowly rare inputs

AUG | Snake Pit (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Charter (Factory New), G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed (Factory New); G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 6; G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078778 instead of 0.074852
Craft 3001003 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Lake Collection · profit 0.82$ · invest 1.12$
rare inputs

Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Charter (Factory New), G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed (Factory New); G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 6; G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080918 instead of 0.074852

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Control Collection + The Lake Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build