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The Danger Zone Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +1 427.96₸

Invest 27 596.25₸

Average return 29 024.21₸

ROI +5.2%

Chance of profit 95%

With float: invest 44 912.51 ₸, profit −15 888.31 ₸

float premium: 14 430 ₸ (47.3%)

To build: easy

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

43% of lots fit ≈ enough for 5 contracts · easy (by listings)

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.2471

2 900.33 ₸

at 2 900.33

Steam

×9

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Melondrama

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.2784

24 695.92 ₸

at 2 743.99

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 27 596.25 ₸ +1 427.96 (+5.2%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 5%
About break-even 45%

about break-even

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish

Field-Tested

float up to 0.299999

33 150.33 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector

Field-Tested

float up to 0.239999

33 927.43 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Asiimov

Field-Tested

float up to 0.244999

30 089.78 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

33 767.48 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 6 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −1 708.13 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +606.83 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Dreams & Nightmares Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3019934 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 1 492.71₸ · invest 26 148.73₸
rare inputs

StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Field-Tested): float at most 0.372222 instead of 0.278400
Craft 3019296 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 1 395.72₸ · invest 26 995.92₸
rare inputs

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Field-Tested): float at most 0.345454 instead of 0.278400

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Danger Zone Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build