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The Dead Hand Collection + The Falchion Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +274.61₴

Invest 253.90₴

Average return 528.50₴

ROI +108.2%

Chance of profit 98%

With float: invest at least 637.10 ₴, profit at most −108.60 ₴

float premium: at least 381 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

188.67 ₴

at 20.96

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

65.22 ₴

at 65.22

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 253.90 ₴ +274.61 (+108.2%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

167.71 ₴

at 20.96

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

37.75 ₴

at 37.75

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

65.22 ₴

at 65.22

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 270.68 ₴ +249.34 (+92.1%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

146.75 ₴

at 20.96

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

75.50 ₴

at 37.75

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

65.22 ₴

at 65.22

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 287.47 ₴ +224.07 (+78.0%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

125.78 ₴

at 20.96

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

113.24 ₴

at 37.75

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

65.22 ₴

at 65.22

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 304.25 ₴ +198.80 (+65.3%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

104.82 ₴

at 20.96

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

150.99 ₴

at 37.75

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

65.22 ₴

at 65.22

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 321.04 ₴ +173.53 (+54.0%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 96%
Losing outcome 2%
About break-even 2%

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

677.26 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

393.01 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 240.55 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

439.00 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

337.86 ₴ 18.00%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

299.98 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

861.40 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.036399

1 012.67 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

322.51 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.175699

103.28 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Shadow Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +181.01 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +266.74 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 8 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3012749 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 300.05₴ · invest 215.91₴
StatTrak™ Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074590 instead of 0.076829
Craft 3018450 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 294.65₴ · invest 242.76₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Sonar (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076395 instead of 0.076829
Craft 3018903 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 293.22₴ · invest 257.83₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076829
Craft 3018503 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 286.52₴ · invest 246.79₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Amber Slipstream (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076609 instead of 0.076829
Craft 3018980 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 283.88₴ · invest 216.21₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076829
Craft 3019012 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 282.88₴ · invest 229.44₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Zander (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074869 instead of 0.076829
Craft 3018341 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 281.92₴ · invest 257.41₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076832 instead of 0.076829
Craft 3009856 · The Breakout Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 278.86₴ · invest 227.11₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076256 instead of 0.076829

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

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How to build