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The Dead Hand Collection + The Shadow Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −173.48₽

Invest at least 1 184.71₽

Average return 1 011.23₽

ROI −14.6%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest at least 1 184.71 ₽, profit at most −173.48 ₽

float premium: at least 703 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

346.23 ₽

at 38.47

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

126.91 ₽

at 126.91

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 473.14 ₽ +538.09 (+113.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −204 ₽

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0790

76.94 ₽

at 38.47

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0790

342.85 ₽

at 68.57

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0079

380.73 ₽

at 126.91

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 800.52 ₽ +391.43 (+48.9%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0787

230.82 ₽

at 38.47

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0787

137.14 ₽

at 68.57

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0076

253.82 ₽

at 126.91

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 621.78 ₽ +466.90 (+75.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −269 ₽

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0776

38.47 ₽

at 38.47

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0776

411.42 ₽

at 68.57

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0066

380.73 ₽

at 126.91

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 830.62 ₽ +387.15 (+46.6%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0771

192.35 ₽

at 38.47

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0771

205.71 ₽

at 68.57

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

253.82 ₽

at 126.91

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 651.88 ₽ +462.62 (+71.0%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 100%
Losing outcome 0%

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 242.81 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

721.20 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 276.49 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

805.60 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

worst

StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

620.00 ₽ 18.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

2 420.61 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 259.87 ₽ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.043399

833.30 ₽ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

1 206.72 ₽ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Glove Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Horizon Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +351.44 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +520.78 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 8 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3012749 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 550.61₽ · invest 396.21₽
StatTrak™ Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074590 instead of 0.076511
Craft 3018450 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 540.69₽ · invest 445.48₽
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Sonar (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076395 instead of 0.076511
Craft 3018503 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 525.77₽ · invest 452.88₽
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Amber Slipstream (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076609 instead of 0.076511
Craft 3018980 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 520.95₽ · invest 396.75₽
rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New)
Craft 3019012 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 519.10₽ · invest 421.04₽
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Zander (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074869 instead of 0.076511
Craft 3018341 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 517.35₽ · invest 472.36₽
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076832 instead of 0.076511
Craft 3009856 · The Breakout Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 511.73₽ · invest 416.76₽
rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076256 instead of 0.076511
Craft 3018247 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 503.92₽ · invest 465.92₽
rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076829 instead of 0.076511

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

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How to build