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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −39 479.27₸

Invest at least 70 289.18₸

Average return 30 809.85₸

ROI −56.2%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 70 289.18 ₸, profit at most −39 479.27 ₸

float premium: at least 40 181 ₸

To build: medium

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

11% of lots fit: the price is understated

×9

Dual Berettas | Melondrama

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4920

24 814.40 ₸

at 2 757.16

Steam

×1

R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon

Battle-Scarred

any lot

5 079.22 ₸

at 5 079.22

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 29 893.62 ₸ +916.23 (+3.1%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 10%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 90%

about break-even

AK-47 | Nightwish

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.542857

33 805.94 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

about break-even

worst

MP9 | Starlight Protector

Well-Worn

float up to 0.434285

33 022.67 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | The Empress

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.542857

49 045.19 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

best

P250 | See Ya Later

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

58 124.07 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

Variant 2 The Falchion Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 4 The Horizon Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 5 The Genesis Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 6 The Fever Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −2 580.33 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −257.78 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Spectrum 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3020232 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 871.73₸ · invest 28 851.32₸
rare inputs

XM1014 | Tranquility (Well-Worn) instead of R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Battle-Scarred); Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.464102 instead of 0.492063
Craft 3010899 · The CS20 Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 855.04₸ · invest 26 832.48₸
rare inputs

AUG | Death by Puppy (Field-Tested) instead of R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Battle-Scarred); Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.526501 instead of 0.492063

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build