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The Falchion Collection + The Fracture Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +37.04₸

Invest 700.57₸

Average return 737.61₸

ROI +5.3%

Chance of profit 10%

With float: invest at least 1 641.98 ₸, profit at most −904.38 ₸

float premium: at least 821 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1638

213.26 ₸

at 213.26

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ P90 | Freight

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1638

307.05 ₸

at 43.86

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Negev | Ultralight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

180.26 ₸

at 90.13

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 700.57 ₸ +37.04 (+5.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1638

426.51 ₸

at 213.26

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ P90 | Freight

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1638

263.18 ₸

at 43.86

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Negev | Ultralight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

180.26 ₸

at 90.13

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 869.96 ₸ +25.24 (+2.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1638

639.77 ₸

at 213.26

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ P90 | Freight

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1638

219.32 ₸

at 43.86

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Negev | Ultralight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

180.26 ₸

at 90.13

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 039.36 ₸ +13.38 (+1.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1638

853.03 ₸

at 213.26

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ P90 | Freight

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1638

175.46 ₸

at 43.86

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Negev | Ultralight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

180.26 ₸

at 90.13

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 208.75 ₸ +1.58 (+0.1%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 10%
Losing outcome 90%

at a loss

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Connexion

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.119999

712.20 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Allure

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

636.38 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Monster Call

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

747.71 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Kitbash

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.119999

584.05 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Brother

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

654.90 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.089999

1 524.48 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1 889.05 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077999

5 990.75 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074999

1 955.80 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.216499

1 035.26 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Fracture Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 3 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 4 The Genesis Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 5 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −53.81 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +12.67 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Fracture Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3010986 · The CS20 Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 37.25₸ · invest 586.40₸
rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Classic Crate (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Field-Tested)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Fracture Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build