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The Falchion Collection + The Revolution Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +7.69₴

Invest 77.37₴

Average return 85.07₴

ROI +9.9%

Chance of profit 28%

With float: invest at least 180.79 ₴, profit at most −95.72 ₴

float premium: at least 93 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +47.79 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1724

21.27 ₴

at 21.27

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ MP9 | Featherweight

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1724

20.65 ₴

at 4.13

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Rebel

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0778

35.44 ₴

at 8.86

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 77.37 ₴ +7.69 (+9.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1680

127.65 ₴

at 21.27

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

33.19 ₴

at 33.19

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Rebel

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

26.58 ₴

at 8.86

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 187.42 ₴ +47.19 (+25.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1674

85.10 ₴

at 21.27

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyberforce

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1674

7.91 ₴

at 3.96

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Rebel

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

35.44 ₴

at 8.86

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 128.45 ₴ +31.39 (+24.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −14 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1671

106.37 ₴

at 21.27

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

132.77 ₴

at 33.19

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Rebel

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

8.86 ₴

at 8.86

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 248.00 ₴ +36.46 (+14.7%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 28%
Losing outcome 72%

at a loss

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.100961

77.48 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.107692

100.64 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Sakkaku

Field-Tested

float up to 0.288076

76.27 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.080769

40.87 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.134615

50.54 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.080769

152.08 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.134615

188.45 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 012.67 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.067307

322.51 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.208653

103.28 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Revolution Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 3 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 4 The Genesis Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 5 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 6 The Prisma 2 Collection instead of The Revolution Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −3.73 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +4.80 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Revolution Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Revolution Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build