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The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −508.73₽

Invest at least 2 208.89₽

Average return 1 700.16₽

ROI −23.0%

Chance of profit 18%

With float: invest at least 2 208.89 ₽, profit at most −508.73 ₽

float premium: at least 1 279 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +1 005.66 ₽ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

92.00 ₽

at 46.00

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

78.79 ₽

at 78.79

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1622

125.76 ₽

at 62.88

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

630.55 ₽

at 126.11

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 927.10 ₽ +773.06 (+83.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0776

322.00 ₽

at 46.00

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0067

78.79 ₽

at 78.79

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1720

62.88 ₽

at 62.88

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0776

126.11 ₽

at 126.11

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 589.78 ₽ +128.34 (+21.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0776

184.00 ₽

at 46.00

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1719

62.88 ₽

at 62.88

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0776

630.55 ₽

at 126.11

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 877.43 ₽ +626.33 (+71.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

230.00 ₽

at 46.00

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1700

62.88 ₽

at 62.88

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

504.44 ₽

at 126.11

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 797.32 ₽ +510.03 (+64.0%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 35%
Losing outcome 65%

at a loss

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.040124

771.86 ₽ 17.50%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7 287.50 ₽ 17.50%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

2 243.28 ₽ 17.50%

Steam

at a loss

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

228.55 ₽ 17.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

486.11 ₽ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

P2000 | Handgun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

149.90 ₽ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.045499

740.02 ₽ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.043749

404.96 ₽ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.184624

89.52 ₽ 6.00%

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear) × 2 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 92.00 → 203.32 ₽

UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 78.79 → 170.19 ₽

MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested) × 2 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 125.76 → 277.93 ₽

UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) × 5 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.47 630.55 → 1 557.46 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.087499900

outcomes come out up to 0.040124, 0.069999, 0.059499, 0.087499, 0.052499, 0.087499, 0.045499, 0.043749, 0.184624

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +418.59 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +611.90 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3006296 · The Arabesque Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 883.27₽ · invest 1 055.92₽
rare inputs

FAMAS | Snake Song (Field-Tested), Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 2; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166928 instead of 0.162223; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 5; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075888 instead of 0.074251
Craft 3008356 · The Bank Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 851.59₽ · invest 1 035.51₽
rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Tuxedo (Field-Tested), CZ75-Auto | Tuxedo (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 2; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162035 instead of 0.162223; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 5; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074186 instead of 0.074251
Craft 3028391 · The Horizon Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 792.60₽ · invest 933.68₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162072 instead of 0.162223; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 5; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074199 instead of 0.074251
Craft 3015582 · The Chroma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 754.74₽ · invest 933.44₽
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Grotto (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162072 instead of 0.162223; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 5; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074199 instead of 0.074251
Craft 3027767 · The Harlequin Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 751.79₽ · invest 894.12₽
rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162703 instead of 0.162223; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 5; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074418 instead of 0.074251
Craft 3007764 · The Ascent Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 749.94₽ · invest 920.92₽
rare inputs

Desert Eagle | Mint Fan (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162499 instead of 0.162223; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 5; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074347 instead of 0.074251
Craft 3028392 · The Horizon Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 715.23₽ · invest 899.01₽
rare inputs

Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Field-Tested), Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163724 instead of 0.162223; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 5; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074773 instead of 0.074251
Craft 3035975 · The Sport & Field Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 706.80₽ · invest 793.89₽
rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | Small Game (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 2; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161665 instead of 0.162223; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 5; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074057 instead of 0.074251
Craft 3010600 · The Breakout Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 680.73₽ · invest 830.20₽
rare inputs

Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162072 instead of 0.162223; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 5; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074199 instead of 0.074251

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build