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The Fever Collection + The Revolution Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −79.87$

Invest at least 144.49$

Average return 64.62$

ROI −55.3%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 144.49 $, profit at most −79.87 $

float premium: at least 86 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1729

4.94 $

at 4.94

Steam

×9

UMP-45 | Wild Child

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0779

50.88 $

at 5.65

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 55.82 $ +8.80 (+15.8%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1729

4.94 $

at 4.94

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0779

7.60 $

at 7.60

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Wild Child

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0779

45.23 $

at 5.65

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 57.77 $ +6.09 (+10.5%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1729

4.94 $

at 4.94

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0779

15.19 $

at 7.60

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Wild Child

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0779

39.58 $

at 5.65

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 59.71 $ +3.38 (+5.7%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1729

4.94 $

at 4.94

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0779

22.79 $

at 7.60

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Wild Child

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0779

33.92 $

at 5.65

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 61.65 $ +0.67 (+1.1%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

at a loss

worst

AK-47 | Head Shot

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

53.13 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Temukau

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

97.27 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

AWP | Printstream

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

76.59 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Bad Trip

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

56.14 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fever Collection + The Revolution Collection

Variant 2 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 3 The Shadow Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 4 The Horizon Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 5 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 6 The Genesis Collection instead of The Revolution Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.96 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +6.14 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fever Collection and The Revolution Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3034204 · The Revolution Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 8.75$ · invest 64.62$
M4A1-S | Decimator (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Field-Tested); UMP-45 | Wild Child (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075534 instead of 0.077999
Craft 3021269 · The Falchion Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 8.17$ · invest 56.06$
rare inputs

SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Field-Tested)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fever Collection + The Revolution Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build