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The Genesis Collection + The Revolution Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +3.80$

Invest 36.13$

Average return 39.93$

ROI +10.5%

Chance of profit 50%

With float: invest at least 92.78 $, profit at most −52.86 $

float premium: at least 54 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3847

4.76 $

at 4.76

Steam

×9

UMP-45 | Wild Child

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1655

31.37 $

at 3.49

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 36.13 $ +3.80 (+10.5%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3847

4.76 $

at 4.76

Steam

×1

MP7 | Smoking Kills

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1655

6.41 $

at 6.41

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Wild Child

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1655

27.88 $

at 3.49

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 39.05 $ +0.82 (+2.1%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 45%
About break-even 5%

at a loss

worst

AK-47 | Head Shot

Field-Tested

float up to 0.187499

37.67 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Temukau

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

54.28 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | The Oligarch

Field-Tested

float up to 0.187499

50.52 $ 5.00%

Steam

about break-even

M4A4 | Full Throttle

Field-Tested

float up to 0.187499

40.25 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Genesis Collection + The Revolution Collection

Variant 2 The Recoil Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 3 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 4 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 5 The Prisma 2 Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Revolution Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −0.65 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1.92 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Genesis Collection and The Revolution Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3028186 · The Horizon Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 3.63$ · invest 36.81$
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Devourer (Field-Tested) instead of Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Well-Worn); UMP-45 | Wild Child (Field-Tested): float at most 0.182926 instead of 0.165584
Craft 3021271 · The Falchion Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 3.59$ · invest 36.05$
rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Well-Worn) instead of Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Well-Worn)
Craft 3017791 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 3.55$ · invest 36.65$
MP5-SD | Phosphor (Field-Tested) instead of Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Well-Worn); UMP-45 | Wild Child (Field-Tested): float at most 0.182926 instead of 0.165584

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Genesis Collection + The Revolution Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build