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The Horizon Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −2 993.85₸

Invest at least 9 162.19₸

Average return 6 168.39₸

ROI −32.7%

Chance of profit 6%

With float: invest at least 9 162.19 ₸, profit at most −2 993.85 ₸

float premium: at least 5 237 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +2 581.10 ₸ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Glock-18 | Warhawk

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

356.16 ₸

at 356.16

Steam

×6

Dual Berettas | Shred

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

2 486.65 ₸

at 414.44

Steam

×3

M249 | Warbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1644

951.95 ₸

at 317.32

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 794.76 ₸ +2 373.63 (+62.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −482 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

R8 Revolver | Survivalist

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

1 103.87 ₸

at 275.97

Steam

×5

Dual Berettas | Shred

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

2 072.21 ₸

at 414.44

Steam

×1

M249 | Warbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1699

317.32 ₸

at 317.32

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 493.40 ₸ +1 523.50 (+43.6%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 74%
Losing outcome 20%
About break-even 6%

at a loss

worst

AWP | PAW

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

3 363.99 ₸ 14.00%

Steam

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Eco

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6 063.41 ₸ 14.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

G3SG1 | High Seas

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

4 686.52 ₸ 14.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Powercore

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

5 180.17 ₸ 14.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Nova | Toy Soldier

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6 242.69 ₸ 14.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AK-47 | Rat Rod

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

36 329.46 ₸ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

AUG | Arctic Wolf

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

4 059.80 ₸ 6.00%

Steam

about break-even

PP-Bizon | Embargo

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4 156.05 ₸ 6.00%

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Obsidian

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8 150.14 ₸ 6.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Neon Ply

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

5 946.07 ₸ 6.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Horizon Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection Variant 6 only The Shattered Web Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1 170.62 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1 963.61 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Horizon Collection and The Shattered Web Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 8 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3034430 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 2 565.86₸ · invest 2 621.25₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Yorick (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Warhawk (Minimal Wear), Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New)
Craft 3011549 · The CS20 Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 2 160.68₸ · invest 2 535.38₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Tec-9 | Flash Out (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Warhawk (Minimal Wear), Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161845 instead of 0.164444
Craft 3031740 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 2 069.86₸ · invest 2 835.93₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Warhawk (Minimal Wear), Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested): float at most 0.171596 instead of 0.164444
Craft 3033405 · The Radiant Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 2 026.73₸ · invest 3 194.81₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Coral Bloom (Minimal Wear), M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Warhawk (Minimal Wear), Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161743 instead of 0.164444
Craft 3032646 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 2 023.35₸ · invest 2 261.98₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | Prototype (Minimal Wear), R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Warhawk (Minimal Wear), Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161708 instead of 0.164444
Craft 3007646 · The Ascent Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 1 992.95₸ · invest 3 645.64₸
sells slowly rare inputs

FAMAS | Yeti Camo (Minimal Wear), Desert Eagle | Mint Fan (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Warhawk (Minimal Wear), Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161708 instead of 0.164444
Craft 3025385 · The Gamma Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 1 976.31₸ · invest 2 500.80₸
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Harvester (Minimal Wear), Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Warhawk (Minimal Wear), Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New)
Craft 3015483 · The Chroma Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 1 953.39₸ · invest 3 850.75₸
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Grotto (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Warhawk (Minimal Wear), Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested): float at most 0.171596 instead of 0.164444

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Horizon Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build