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The Operation Riptide Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +539.74₴

Invest 624.78₴

Average return 1 164.52₴

ROI +86.4%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 1 585.93 ₴, profit at most −421.41 ₴

float premium: at least 958 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

PP-Bizon | Lumen

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1647

40.73 ₴

at 40.73

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1647

34.27 ₴

at 34.27

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

549.78 ₴

at 68.72

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 624.78 ₴ +539.74 (+86.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

MP7 | Guerrilla

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1641

175.47 ₴

at 43.87

Steam

×2

G3SG1 | Keeping Tabs

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

246.07 ₴

at 123.04

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

274.89 ₴

at 68.72

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 696.43 ₴ +52.74 (+7.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

PP-Bizon | Lumen

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1619

40.73 ₴

at 40.73

Steam

×1

MP7 | Guerrilla

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1619

43.87 ₴

at 43.87

Steam

×1

MP9 | Dart

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

56.01 ₴

at 56.01

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

481.06 ₴

at 68.72

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 621.67 ₴ +459.78 (+74.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

PP-Bizon | Lumen

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

40.73 ₴

at 40.73

Steam

×2

MP7 | Guerrilla

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

87.74 ₴

at 43.87

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

481.06 ₴

at 68.72

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 609.53 ₴ +388.85 (+63.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

MP7 | Guerrilla

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

131.60 ₴

at 43.87

Steam

×1

AUG | Plague

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

86.99 ₴

at 86.99

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

412.33 ₴

at 68.72

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 630.93 ₴ +284.39 (+45.1%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 53%
About break-even 2%

at a loss

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.040124

420.62 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 971.25 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

1 222.45 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

124.55 ₴ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | ZX Spectron

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

291.15 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

Five-SeveN | Boost Protocol

Factory New

float up to 0.035874

501.47 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

about break-even

M4A4 | Spider Lily

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

691.24 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

245.95 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Mount Fuji

Factory New

float up to 0.048124

667.44 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Operation Riptide Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Operation Riptide Collection Variant 5 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Operation Riptide Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Operation Riptide Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +297.88 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +429.24 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Operation Riptide Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3030808 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 549.77₴ · invest 624.32₴
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Contaminant (Field-Tested) instead of PP-Bizon | Lumen (Field-Tested); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163150 instead of 0.164753; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074574 instead of 0.075131
Craft 3020610 · The Dust 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 547.38₴ · invest 606.04₴
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Brass (Minimal Wear) instead of PP-Bizon | Lumen (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161805 instead of 0.164753; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074106 instead of 0.075131
Craft 3036179 · The Vanguard Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 545.88₴ · invest 619.58₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SSG 08 | Necropos (Field-Tested) instead of PP-Bizon | Lumen (Field-Tested); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168561 instead of 0.164753; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076456 instead of 0.075131
Craft 3028898 · The Huntsman Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 542.16₴ · invest 647.48₴
sells slowly rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Twist (Minimal Wear) instead of PP-Bizon | Lumen (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161805 instead of 0.164753; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074106 instead of 0.075131
Craft 3005652 · The Anubis Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 535.69₴ · invest 635.81₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Souvenir MAG-7 | Copper Coated (Field-Tested) instead of PP-Bizon | Lumen (Field-Tested); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168561 instead of 0.164753; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076456 instead of 0.075131
Craft 3036195 · The Vanguard Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 534.58₴ · invest 654.63₴
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear) instead of PP-Bizon | Lumen (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162887 instead of 0.164753; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074482 instead of 0.075131
Craft 3035318 · The Shattered Web Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 531.14₴ · invest 615.70₴
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested) instead of PP-Bizon | Lumen (Field-Tested); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166424 instead of 0.164753; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075712 instead of 0.075131
Craft 3001733 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 530.29₴ · invest 673.96₴
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Full Stop (Minimal Wear) instead of PP-Bizon | Lumen (Field-Tested); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.171852 instead of 0.164753; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077600 instead of 0.075131
Craft 3036228 · The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 524.83₴ · invest 676.05₴
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

XM1014 | Red Python (Field-Tested) instead of PP-Bizon | Lumen (Field-Tested); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165604 instead of 0.164753; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075427 instead of 0.075131

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Operation Riptide Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build