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The Phoenix Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +1 781.93₸

Invest 3 064.10₸

Average return 4 846.03₸

ROI +58.1%

Chance of profit 48%

With float: invest at least 7 064.69 ₸, profit at most −2 218.66 ₸

float premium: at least 3 991 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +2 538.11 ₸ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

780.38 ₸

at 260.13

Steam

×4

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

1 331.76 ₸

at 332.94

Steam

×3

M249 | Warbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1619

951.95 ₸

at 317.32

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 064.10 ₸ +1 781.93 (+58.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −552 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

242.04 ₸

at 242.04

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

2 081.00 ₸

at 260.13

Steam

×1

M249 | Warbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1699

317.32 ₸

at 317.32

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 640.37 ₸ +676.37 (+25.6%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 48%
Losing outcome 52%

at a loss

worst

FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

float up to 0.162999

1 383.77 ₸ 17.50%

Steam

in profit

MAC-10 | Heat

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

5 025.52 ₸ 17.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Pulse

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.134999

2 971.67 ₸ 17.50%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

float up to 0.026599

2 358.61 ₸ 17.50%

Steam

in profit

best

AK-47 | Rat Rod

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

36 329.46 ₸ 6.00%

Steam

in profit

AUG | Arctic Wolf

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

4 059.80 ₸ 6.00%

Steam

in profit

PP-Bizon | Embargo

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4 156.05 ₸ 6.00%

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Obsidian

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8 150.14 ₸ 6.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Neon Ply

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

5 946.07 ₸ 6.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Phoenix Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection Variant 6 only The Shattered Web Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +819.38 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1 413.76 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Phoenix Collection and The Shattered Web Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3020031 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 1 845.48₸ · invest 1 740.25₸
sells slowly rare inputs

MAC-10 | Ensnared (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164228 instead of 0.161986
Craft 3014648 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 1 809.61₸ · invest 2 377.73₸
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred), G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163498 instead of 0.161986
Craft 3016468 · The Clutch Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 1 711.15₸ · invest 2 025.29₸
sells slowly rare inputs

P2000 | Urban Hazard (Minimal Wear), SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164997 instead of 0.161986
Craft 3013473 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 1 626.71₸ · invest 1 841.64₸
rare inputs

Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167692 instead of 0.161986
Craft 3008979 · The Boreal Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 1 612.29₸ · invest 1 888.61₸
rare inputs

XM1014 | Copperflage (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested): float at most 0.179151 instead of 0.161986

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Phoenix Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build