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The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Falchion Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −5.18$

Invest at least 28.20$

Average return 23.02$

ROI −18.4%

Chance of profit 5%

With float: invest at least 28.20 $, profit at most −5.18 $

float premium: at least 17 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +12.09 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P250 | Vino Primo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

1.60 $

at 1.60

Steam

×1

P2000 | Handgun

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

0.93 $

at 0.93

Steam

×8

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

8.78 $

at 1.10

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 11.31 $ +11.71 (+103.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −10 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P250 | Vino Primo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1661

1.60 $

at 1.60

Steam

×3

P250 | Vino Primo

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

10.02 $

at 3.34

Steam

×6

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1661

6.58 $

at 1.10

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 18.20 $ +7.95 (+43.7%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 100%
Losing outcome 0%

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

26.00 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

float up to 0.022399

25.81 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

SG 553 | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

24.00 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

worst

Dual Berettas | Twin Turbo

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

15.01 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

SG 553 | Integrale

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

59.54 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 5 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 6 The Shadow Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +8.28 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +10.43 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Inferno Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3069537 · The Falchion Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 11.90$ · invest 11.06$
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Limelight (Field-Tested) instead of P250 | Vino Primo (Field-Tested)
Craft 3069983 · The Falchion Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 11.81$ · invest 11.00$
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Fuel Rod (Field-Tested) instead of P250 | Vino Primo (Field-Tested)
Craft 3063559 · The Chroma Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 11.37$ · invest 12.04$
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Serenity (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | Vino Primo (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164563 instead of 0.163747; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164563 instead of 0.163747
Craft 3069511 · The Falchion Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 11.30$ · invest 11.09$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Petroglyph (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | Vino Primo (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163391 instead of 0.163747; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163391 instead of 0.163747
Craft 3070117 · The Falchion Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 11.15$ · invest 11.00$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Exposure (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | Vino Primo (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165351 instead of 0.163747; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165351 instead of 0.163747
Craft 3070209 · The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 11.12$ · invest 11.39$
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Field-Tested) instead of P250 | Vino Primo (Field-Tested)
Craft 3069845 · The Falchion Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 11.04$ · invest 10.44$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Enforcer (Field-Tested) instead of P250 | Vino Primo (Field-Tested)
Craft 3070144 · The Falchion Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 10.89$ · invest 11.19$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Scaffold (Field-Tested) instead of P250 | Vino Primo (Field-Tested)
Craft 3069922 · The Falchion Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 10.73$ · invest 10.20$
sells slowly rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Field-Tested) instead of P250 | Vino Primo (Field-Tested)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

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How to build