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The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Shadow Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +154.68₴

Invest 213.24₴

Average return 367.92₴

ROI +72.5%

Chance of profit 72%

With float: invest at least 505.11 ₴, profit at most −137.20 ₴

float premium: at least 293 ₴

To build: medium

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0008

85.62 ₴

at 28.54

Steam

×6

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0889

102.73 ₴

at 17.12

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0804

24.89 ₴

at 24.89

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 213.24 ₴ +154.68 (+72.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

199.77 ₴

at 28.54

Steam

×2

XM1014 | Scumbria

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1804

27.96 ₴

at 13.98

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0797

17.12 ₴

at 17.12

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 244.85 ₴ +112.53 (+46.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0028

171.23 ₴

at 28.54

Steam

×2

XM1014 | Scumbria

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1804

27.96 ₴

at 13.98

Steam

×2

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0815

34.24 ₴

at 17.12

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 233.43 ₴ +126.58 (+54.2%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 28%
About break-even 18%

in profit

best

Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 106.61 ₴ 17.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077777

103.79 ₴ 17.50%

Steam

about break-even

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.048222

247.60 ₴ 17.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

270.77 ₴ 17.50%

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Safety Net

Factory New

float up to 0.046666

525.67 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.019444

529.35 ₴ 10.00%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Vino Primo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077777

150.66 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 4 The Glove Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The 2018 Nuke Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +89.06 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +129.59 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Inferno Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 8 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3077171 · The Horizon Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 182.04₴ · invest 241.82₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.088909; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 1; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.080442
Craft 3082317 · The Radiant Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 178.42₴ · invest 226.72₴
sells slowly rare inputs

M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.088909; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 1; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.080442
Craft 3063982 · The Chroma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 174.20₴ · invest 241.82₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Grotto (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.088909; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 1; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.080442
Craft 3076574 · The Harlequin Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 169.66₴ · invest 234.88₴
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074468 instead of 0.088909; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 1; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074468 instead of 0.080442
Craft 3063083 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 166.60₴ · invest 186.28₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred), M249 | Spectre (Factory New), XM1014 | Scumbria (Field-Tested) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New), XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 6; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074430 instead of 0.088909
Craft 3083978 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 157.28₴ · invest 211.13₴
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.088909; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 1; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.080442
Craft 3070021 · The Falchion Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 153.14₴ · invest 244.35₴
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074468 instead of 0.088909; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 1; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074468 instead of 0.080442
Craft 3083915 · The Shadow Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 138.82₴ · invest 193.28₴
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074357 instead of 0.088909; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 1; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074357 instead of 0.080442

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

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How to build