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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Italy Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Average profit +2.84₽

Invest 37.15₽

Average return 39.99₽

ROI +7.6%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 84.74 ₽, profit at most −44.75 ₽

float premium: at least 41 ₽

To build: medium

A more profitable set was dropped: +14.37 ₽ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1547

3.87 ₽

at 3.87

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir P250 | Drought

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0783

14.82 ₽

at 4.94

souvenirSteam

×2

AUG | Contractor

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1547

4.98 ₽

at 2.49

Steam

×4

AUG | Contractor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0791

13.48 ₽

at 3.37

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 37.15 ₽ +2.84 (+7.6%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

in profit

best

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Factory New

float up to 0.060810

125.89 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.072972

63.77 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | CaliCamo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.072972

65.51 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

P90 | Verdant Growth

Factory New

float up to 0.057162

107.36 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

Dual Berettas | Stained

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

12.65 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

P2000 | Granite Marbleized

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

14.50 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A1-S | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

26.37 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Candy Apple

Factory New

float up to 0.036486

22.37 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

UMP-45 | Gunsmoke

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

13.43 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

XM1014 | CaliCamo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.072972

8.01 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Field-Tested) × 1 2% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 3.87 → 8.36 ₽

Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear) × 3 10% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 14.82 → 33.49 ₽

AUG | Contractor (Field-Tested) × 2 2% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 4.98 → 11.01 ₽

AUG | Contractor (Minimal Wear) × 4 11% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 13.48 → 31.88 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.121621522

outcomes come out up to 0.060810, 0.072972, 0.072972, 0.057162, 0.121621, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.036486, 0.149999, 0.072972

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Italy Collection

Variant 2 The Safehouse Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 3 The Train Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 4 The Lake Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 5 The Chop Shop Collection instead of The Italy Collection Variant 6 The Train Collection instead of The Italy Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −4.56 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −0.37 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Italy Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Italy Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build