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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Radiant Collection

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade

Average profit +27.68₴

Invest 129.14₴

Average return 156.82₴

ROI +21.4%

Chance of profit 30%

With float: invest 154.15 ₴, profit +2.68 ₴

float premium: 23 ₴ (17.6%)

To build: easy

A more profitable set was dropped: +134.07 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈9% of lots fit ≈ enough for 21 contracts · easy (estimate)

×3

Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.1197

90.65 ₴

at 30.22

souvenirSteam

×7

SG 553 | Basket Halftone

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0435

38.49 ₴

at 5.50

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 129.14 ₴ +27.68 (+21.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −7 ₴

≈16% of lots fit ≈ enough for 56 contracts · easy (estimate)

×1

Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.1260

30.22 ₴

at 30.22

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.1260

30.87 ₴

at 30.87

souvenirSteam

×1

M4A4 | Steel Work

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.1260

2.51 ₴

at 2.51

Steam

×7

SG 553 | Basket Halftone

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0490

38.49 ₴

at 5.50

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 102.08 ₴ +10.02 (+9.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 ₴

≈8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 28 contracts · easy (estimate)

×1

Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.1187

30.22 ₴

at 30.22

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.1187

108.55 ₴

at 36.18

souvenirSteam

×6

SG 553 | Basket Halftone

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0426

32.99 ₴

at 5.50

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 171.76 ₴ +29.79 (+17.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1611

13.08 ₴

at 13.08

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1611

13.62 ₴

at 13.62

souvenirSteam

×6

M4A4 | Steel Work

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0782

15.04 ₴

at 2.51

Steam

×2

SG 553 | Basket Halftone

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0033

11.00 ₴

at 5.50

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 52.74 ₴ +59.35 (+112.5%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 70%

at a loss

AWP | Arsenic Spill

Factory New

float up to 0.063885

38.41 ₴ 11.67%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Coral Bloom

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.095828

25.71 ₴ 11.67%

Steam

at a loss

M4A1-S | Rose Hex

Factory New

float up to 0.063636

32.98 ₴ 11.67%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MP9 | Shredded

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.076363

17.79 ₴ 11.67%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Red Tide

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.095454

21.95 ₴ 11.67%

Steam

at a loss

SSG 08 | Blush Pour

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.086345

19.41 ₴ 11.67%

Steam

in profit

M249 | Humidor

Factory New

float up to 0.063636

187.96 ₴ 7.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Music Box

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

339.36 ₴ 7.50%

Steam

in profit

SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Factory New

float up to 0.062363

194.61 ₴ 7.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Purple DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 439.57 ₴ 7.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Radiant Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 3 The Ancient Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 5 The Bank Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 6 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Radiant Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.07 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +15.19 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Radiant Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Radiant Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

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How to build