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The Breakout Collection + The Vanguard Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −127 463.31₸

Invest at least 391 166.57₸

Average return 263 703.26₸

ROI −32.6%

Chance of profit 30%

With float: invest at least 391 166.57 ₸, profit at most −127 463.31 ₸

float premium: at least 209 671 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +130 584.76 ₸ по средним

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −89 178.14 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

60 328.17 ₸

at 15 082.04

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

36 004.35 ₸

at 12 001.45

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

73 947.18 ₸

at 24 649.06

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 170 279.70 ₸ +93 423.56 (+54.9%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0076

15 082.04 ₸

at 15 082.04

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0787

36 004.35 ₸

at 12 001.45

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0076

147 894.37 ₸

at 24 649.06

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 198 980.76 ₸ +130 584.76 (+65.6%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0064

30 164.09 ₸

at 15 082.04

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0773

36 004.35 ₸

at 12 001.45

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0064

123 245.31 ₸

at 24 649.06

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 189 413.74 ₸ +118 197.66 (+62.4%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

45 246.13 ₸

at 15 082.04

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

36 004.35 ₸

at 12 001.45

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

98 596.25 ₸

at 24 649.06

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 179 846.72 ₸ +105 810.61 (+58.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −8 545 ₸

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

75 410.21 ₸

at 15 082.04

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

36 004.35 ₸

at 12 001.45

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

49 298.12 ₸

at 24 649.06

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 160 712.69 ₸ +81 036.51 (+50.4%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 70%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

621 094.20 ₸ 30.00%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental

Factory New

float up to 0.018461

108 521.88 ₸ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.015384

122 603.02 ₸ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov

Factory New

float up to 0.028307

180 948.19 ₸ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 5 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Breakout Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +80 998.98 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +92 291.40 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3064108 · The Chroma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 107 802.11₸ · invest 177 455.28₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078525 instead of 0.075649; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.007460 instead of 0.004943
Craft 3067595 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 104 443.56₸ · invest 174 048.85₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080705 instead of 0.075649; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.009367 instead of 0.004943
Craft 3077355 · The Horizon Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 102 249.43₸ · invest 188 895.95₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079987 instead of 0.075649; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): 4 pcs instead of 3; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.008739 instead of 0.004943
Craft 3073016 · The Gallery Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 97 314.47₸ · invest 184 867.88₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079987 instead of 0.075649; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): 4 pcs instead of 3; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.008739 instead of 0.004943
Craft 3071115 · The Fever Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 95 993.76₸ · invest 157 096.00₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080705 instead of 0.075649; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.009367 instead of 0.004943
Craft 3084806 · The Spectrum Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 93 203.97₸ · invest 168 707.37₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078226 instead of 0.075649; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.007198 instead of 0.004943
Craft 3075768 · The Glove Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 88 145.99₸ · invest 157 096.00₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079194 instead of 0.075649; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.008045 instead of 0.004943
Craft 3074421 · The Gamma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 86 570.64₸ · invest 156 657.25₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077288 instead of 0.075649; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.006377 instead of 0.004943
Craft 3073761 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 83 447.33₸ · invest 168 333.95₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Syd Mead (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079769 instead of 0.075649; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.008547 instead of 0.004943

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build