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The Falchion Collection + The Fracture Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +30.89₽

Invest 181.06₽

Average return 211.95₽

ROI +17.1%

Chance of profit 44%

With float: invest at least 446.54 ₽, profit at most −234.60 ₽

float premium: at least 248 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +34.71 ₽ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1651

37.14 ₽

at 37.14

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Ol' Rusty

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

14.96 ₽

at 14.96

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ P90 | Freight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

128.96 ₽

at 16.12

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 181.06 ₽ +30.89 (+17.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1651

37.14 ₽

at 37.14

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

60.91 ₽

at 60.91

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ P90 | Freight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

128.96 ₽

at 16.12

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 227.01 ₽ +32.94 (+14.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1633

111.42 ₽

at 37.14

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ P90 | Freight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

80.60 ₽

at 16.12

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Ol' Rusty

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

81.22 ₽

at 40.61

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 273.24 ₽ +34.71 (+12.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1633

111.42 ₽

at 37.14

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

69.27 ₽

at 69.27

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ P90 | Freight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

64.48 ₽

at 16.12

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Ol' Rusty

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

81.22 ₽

at 40.61

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 326.39 ₽ +29.56 (+9.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1633

111.42 ₽

at 37.14

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

138.54 ₽

at 69.27

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ P90 | Freight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

48.36 ₽

at 16.12

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Ol' Rusty

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

81.22 ₽

at 40.61

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 379.54 ₽ +24.41 (+6.4%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 44%
Losing outcome 56%

in profit

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Connexion

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

294.27 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Allure

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

119.04 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Monster Call

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

154.10 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Kitbash

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

260.04 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Brother

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

115.24 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

550.48 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

357.12 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.045499

2 050.00 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.043749

591.09 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.184624

154.04 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Fracture Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 3 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 4 The Gamma Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 5 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Shadow Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −1.71 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +28.32 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Fracture Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3071631 · The Fracture Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 29.56₽ · invest 175.98₽
rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Whitefish (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Fracture Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build