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The Falchion Collection + The Prisma Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +374.94₽

Invest 625.82₽

Average return 1 000.76₽

ROI +59.9%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 1 568.23 ₽, profit at most −567.47 ₽

float premium: at least 949 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +401.30 ₽ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

138.54 ₽

at 69.27

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ MP7 | Mischief

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1620

487.28 ₽

at 60.91

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 625.82 ₽ +374.94 (+59.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −129 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

554.16 ₽

at 69.27

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

119.69 ₽

at 119.69

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MP7 | Mischief

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1695

60.91 ₽

at 60.91

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 734.76 ₽ +139.99 (+19.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −96 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

484.89 ₽

at 69.27

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

119.69 ₽

at 119.69

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MP7 | Mischief

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1694

121.82 ₽

at 60.91

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 726.40 ₽ +166.36 (+22.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −64 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

415.62 ₽

at 69.27

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0058

119.69 ₽

at 119.69

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ MP7 | Mischief

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1693

182.73 ₽

at 60.91

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 718.04 ₽ +192.72 (+26.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −32 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

346.35 ₽

at 69.27

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0058

119.69 ₽

at 119.69

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ MP7 | Mischief

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1693

243.64 ₽

at 60.91

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 709.68 ₽ +219.08 (+30.9%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AWP | Atheris

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 074.80 ₽ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Light Rail

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

1 655.50 ₽ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Gauss

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

454.37 ₽ 16.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Bamboozle

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

553.35 ₽ 16.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Moonrise

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

223.37 ₽ 16.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

550.48 ₽ 4.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 580.72 ₽ 4.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.036399

2 050.00 ₽ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

591.09 ₽ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.175699

154.04 ₽ 4.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Prisma Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 only The Prisma Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +212.66 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +336.68 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Prisma Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3081975 · The Prisma Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 433.62₽ · invest 614.88₽
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear)
Craft 3072539 · The Gallery Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 408.08₽ · invest 632.02₽
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ M249 | Hypnosis (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear)
Craft 3077021 · The Horizon Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 357.90₽ · invest 645.45₽
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ AUG | Amber Slipstream (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ MP7 | Mischief (Field-Tested): 7 pcs instead of 8; StatTrak™ MP7 | Mischief (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161915 instead of 0.162056

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Prisma Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build