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The Falchion Collection + The Radiant Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +0.57$

Invest 2.08$

Average return 2.64$

ROI +27.3%

Chance of profit 92%

With float: invest at least 5.20 $, profit at most −2.56 $

float premium: at least 3 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

0.56 $

at 0.56

Steam

×9

SSG 08 | Blush Pour

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1631

1.52 $

at 0.17

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2.08 $ +0.57 (+27.3%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 92%
Losing outcome 6%
About break-even 2%

in profit

Desert Eagle | Mulberry

Field-Tested

float up to 0.167910

2.52 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Glitched Paint

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3.40 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Bleeding Edge

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.134328

3.44 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Neural Net

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.134328

1.78 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P2000 | Handgun

Field-Tested

float up to 0.223880

0.93 $ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.116417

5.51 $ 2.00%

Steam

about break-even

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111940

2.39 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.254179

1.09 $ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Radiant Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 4 The Glove Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.24 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +0.48 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Radiant Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3082281 · The Radiant Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 0.62$ · invest 1.97$
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Yorick (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear)
Craft 3073479 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 0.61$ · invest 1.95$
P90 | Grim (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear); SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161781 instead of 0.163142
Craft 3081021 · The Phoenix Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 0.61$ · invest 2.10$
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear); SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166010 instead of 0.163142

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Radiant Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build