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The Falchion Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +68.00₽

Invest 595.43₽

Average return 663.43₽

ROI +11.4%

Chance of profit 28%

With float: invest at least 1 442.74 ₽, profit at most −779.31 ₽

float premium: at least 790 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1672

111.42 ₽

at 37.14

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

415.62 ₽

at 69.27

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Black Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1672

68.39 ₽

at 68.39

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 595.43 ₽ +68.00 (+11.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −33 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1632

74.28 ₽

at 37.14

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

415.62 ₽

at 69.27

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Black Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1632

68.39 ₽

at 68.39

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ M249 | Warbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1632

70.00 ₽

at 70.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 628.29 ₽ +54.62 (+8.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −91 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1619

37.14 ₽

at 37.14

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

415.62 ₽

at 69.27

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ M249 | Warbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1619

210.00 ₽

at 70.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 662.76 ₽ +39.62 (+6.0%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 26%
Losing outcome 72%
About break-even 2%

at a loss

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

550.48 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.116666

357.12 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.060666

2 050.00 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.058333

591.09 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.199499

154.04 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Rat Rod

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.116666

1 437.63 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AUG | Arctic Wolf

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.081666

800.47 ₽ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Embargo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.116666

879.01 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ P2000 | Obsidian

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.116666

699.00 ₽ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP7 | Neon Ply

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.116666

1 006.50 ₽ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection Variant 3 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection Variant 4 The Gamma Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection Variant 5 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −23.10 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +57.78 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Shattered Web Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3070230 · The Falchion Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 67.56₽ · invest 593.05₽
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Necropos (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Black Sand (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170952 instead of 0.167226; StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077287 instead of 0.075991
Craft 3069776 · The Falchion Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit 62.12₽ · invest 665.98₽
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Keeping Tabs (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Black Sand (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162643 instead of 0.167226; StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074397 instead of 0.075991

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build