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The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −746.70₽

Invest at least 1 432.36₽

Average return 685.66₽

ROI −52.1%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest at least 1 432.36 ₽, profit at most −746.70 ₽

float premium: at least 772 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1634

185.70 ₽

at 37.14

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

277.08 ₽

at 69.27

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

147.40 ₽

at 147.40

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 610.18 ₽ +75.48 (+12.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −14 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

185.70 ₽

at 37.14

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

121.82 ₽

at 60.91

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

442.20 ₽

at 147.40

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 749.72 ₽ +19.34 (+2.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1616

148.56 ₽

at 37.14

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

243.64 ₽

at 60.91

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

294.80 ₽

at 147.40

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 687.00 ₽ +40.36 (+5.9%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 26%
Losing outcome 74%

at a loss

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

550.48 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.116666

357.12 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.060666

2 050.00 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.058333

591.09 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.199499

154.04 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.046833

751.23 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Griffin

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.093333

1 137.56 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Basilisk

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079333

2 484.75 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.116666

507.00 ₽ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −18.37 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +63.62 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3070288 · The Falchion Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 78.56₽ · invest 749.45₽
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Nova | Ghost Camo (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested): float at most 0.169108 instead of 0.163461; StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076646 instead of 0.074682
Craft 3070255 · The Falchion Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 78.53₽ · invest 605.87₽
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161935 instead of 0.163461; StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074151 instead of 0.074682

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build