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The Falchion Collection + The Wildfire Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +58.94₽

Invest 593.05₽

Average return 651.99₽

ROI +9.9%

Chance of profit 26%

With float: invest at least 1 437.60 ₽, profit at most −785.61 ₽

float premium: at least 785 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1740

111.42 ₽

at 37.14

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0783

415.62 ₽

at 69.27

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Necropos

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1740

66.01 ₽

at 66.01

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 593.05 ₽ +58.94 (+9.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −75 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1740

74.28 ₽

at 37.14

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0783

415.62 ₽

at 69.27

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Necropos

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1740

132.02 ₽

at 66.01

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 621.92 ₽ +38.11 (+6.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −213 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

121.82 ₽

at 60.91

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

277.08 ₽

at 69.27

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Necropos

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

264.04 ₽

at 66.01

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 662.94 ₽ +13.16 (+2.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −142 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

304.55 ₽

at 60.91

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

138.54 ₽

at 69.27

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Necropos

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1624

198.03 ₽

at 66.01

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 641.12 ₽ +26.94 (+4.2%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 26%
Losing outcome 74%

at a loss

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

550.48 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.116666

357.12 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.060666

2 050.00 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.058333

591.09 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.199499

154.04 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Valence

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.093333

1 068.77 ₽ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Triumvirate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.071166

528.00 ₽ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Royal Legion

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.116666

920.05 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

800.00 ₽ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP7 | Impire

Factory New

float up to 0.046666

847.98 ₽ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 3 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 4 The Gamma Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 5 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −37.20 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +49.87 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Wildfire Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build