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The Fever Collection + The Shadow Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +14.40₽

Invest 114.06₽

Average return 128.46₽

ROI +12.6%

Chance of profit 64%

With float: invest at least 283.97 ₽, profit at most −155.52 ₽

float premium: at least 161 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1706

80.01 ₽

at 8.89

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1706

34.05 ₽

at 34.05

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 114.06 ₽ +14.40 (+12.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −10 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1668

71.12 ₽

at 8.89

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1668

34.05 ₽

at 34.05

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1668

34.19 ₽

at 34.19

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 139.36 ₽ +5.50 (+4.0%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 64%
Losing outcome 36%

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.107009

180.32 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Control

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

158.28 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Sun

Field-Tested

float up to 0.187735

69.45 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P90 | Wave Breaker

Field-Tested

float up to 0.178452

73.74 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Tosai

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.131415

162.50 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Stone Cold

Field-Tested

float up to 0.168962

418.96 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader

Field-Tested

float up to 0.187735

247.27 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.116396

346.35 ₽ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P250 | Wingshot

Field-Tested

float up to 0.168962

257.56 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fever Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 5 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −3.28 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +12.14 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fever Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3070540 · The Fever Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 13.23₽ · invest 104.01₽
rare inputs

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Galil AR | Control: Field-Tested instead of Minimal Wear; StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164214 instead of 0.170668

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fever Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build