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The Gallery Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −980.53₴

Invest at least 2 033.06₴

Average return 1 052.52₴

ROI −48.2%

Chance of profit 30%

With float: invest at least 2 033.06 ₴, profit at most −980.53 ₴

float premium: at least 1 150 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

P90 | Randy Rush

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

370.42 ₴

at 61.74

Steam

×3

P90 | Randy Rush

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

389.23 ₴

at 129.74

Steam

×1

P90 | Virus

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1679

103.54 ₴

at 103.54

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 863.19 ₴ +189.33 (+21.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −51 ₴

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

P90 | Randy Rush

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

370.42 ₴

at 61.74

Steam

×2

P90 | Randy Rush

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

259.49 ₴

at 129.74

Steam

×1

P90 | Virus

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

103.54 ₴

at 103.54

Steam

×1

P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

202.92 ₴

at 202.92

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 936.36 ₴ +114.40 (+12.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −209 ₴

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

P90 | Randy Rush

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

370.42 ₴

at 61.74

Steam

×1

P90 | Randy Rush

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

129.74 ₴

at 129.74

Steam

×1

P90 | Virus

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1626

103.54 ₴

at 103.54

Steam

×2

P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

405.84 ₴

at 202.92

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 009.54 ₴ +39.48 (+3.9%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 35%
Losing outcome 62%
About break-even 2%

in profit

best

AK-47 | The Outsiders

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 409.20 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Epicenter

Factory New

float up to 0.062222

759.95 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

UMP-45 | Neo-Noir

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077777

468.10 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

AUG | Bengal Tiger

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.117555

1 258.29 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

AWP | Corticera

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.078666

963.93 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.078666

875.18 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Nova | Bloomstick

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.117555

1 671.54 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Gallery Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 3 The Horizon Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 4 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 5 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 6 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −50.64 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +125.92 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Gallery Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3072426 · The Gallery Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit 199.50₴ · invest 917.37₴
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum (Minimal Wear) instead of P90 | Virus (Field-Tested); P90 | Randy Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077679 instead of 0.076249; P90 | Randy Rush (Factory New): float at most 0.006719 instead of 0.005468
Craft 3046468 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 198.47₴ · invest 836.17₴
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Core Breach (Field-Tested) instead of P90 | Virus (Field-Tested); P90 | Randy Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074714 instead of 0.076249; P90 | Randy Rush (Factory New): float at most 0.004125 instead of 0.005468
Craft 3055553 · The Ascent Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 194.84₴ · invest 889.39₴
sells slowly rare inputs

USP-S | Royal Guard (Minimal Wear) instead of P90 | Virus (Field-Tested); P90 | Randy Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077679 instead of 0.076249; P90 | Randy Rush (Factory New): float at most 0.006719 instead of 0.005468

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Gallery Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build