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The Harlequin Collection + The Horizon Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +88.48₴

Invest 244.82₴

Average return 333.30₴

ROI +36.1%

Chance of profit 96%

With float: invest at least 578.21 ₴, profit at most −244.91 ₴

float premium: at least 346 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +91.33 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

39.43 ₴

at 19.72

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

123.85 ₴

at 20.64

Steam

×2

Dual Berettas | Shred

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

81.53 ₴

at 40.77

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 244.82 ₴ +88.48 (+36.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

165.14 ₴

at 20.64

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

37.30 ₴

at 37.30

Steam

×1

Dual Berettas | Shred

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

40.77 ₴

at 40.77

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 243.20 ₴ +91.33 (+37.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

39.43 ₴

at 19.72

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

103.21 ₴

at 20.64

Steam

×1

R8 Revolver | Survivalist

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

26.39 ₴

at 26.39

Steam

×2

Dual Berettas | Shred

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

81.53 ₴

at 40.77

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 250.56 ₴ +81.50 (+32.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

39.43 ₴

at 19.72

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

82.57 ₴

at 20.64

Steam

×2

R8 Revolver | Survivalist

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

52.77 ₴

at 26.39

Steam

×2

Dual Berettas | Shred

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

81.53 ₴

at 40.77

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 256.31 ₴ +74.51 (+29.1%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 92%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 8%

in profit

AWP | Exothermic

Factory New

float up to 0.061249

407.69 ₴ 40.00%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Factory New

float up to 0.061249

364.59 ₴ 40.00%

Steam

in profit

AWP | PAW

Factory New

float up to 0.043749

339.55 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

about break-even

CZ75-Auto | Eco

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

285.39 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

in profit

G3SG1 | High Seas

Factory New

float up to 0.061249

479.10 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

in profit

best

MP7 | Powercore

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

480.16 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

about break-even

worst

Nova | Toy Soldier

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

275.28 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Harlequin Collection + The Horizon Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +47.09 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +70.57 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Harlequin Collection and The Horizon Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3076491 · The Harlequin Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 107.45₴ · invest 213.63₴
MP9 | Shredded (Minimal Wear), M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 2; Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074313 instead of 0.074163; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074313 instead of 0.074163
Craft 3062588 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 95.05₴ · invest 197.86₴
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred), M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074213 instead of 0.074163; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074213 instead of 0.074163
Craft 3076642 · The Harlequin Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 88.84₴ · invest 200.52₴
pricier variants exist

Nova | Yorkshire (Minimal Wear) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 2; Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074444 instead of 0.074163; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 6; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074444 instead of 0.074163
Craft 3076409 · The Harlequin Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 86.35₴ · invest 204.28₴
UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested), Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear), Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 2; Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074481 instead of 0.074163
Craft 3072220 · The Gallery Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 82.69₴ · invest 189.89₴
rare inputs

M249 | Hypnosis (Minimal Wear) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 2; Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074444 instead of 0.074163; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 6; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074444 instead of 0.074163
Craft 3076300 · The Harlequin Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 80.67₴ · invest 274.42₴
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear); CZ75-Auto | Eco: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; Nova | Toy Soldier: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 2; Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074216 instead of 0.074163; Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New): float at most 0.003689 instead of 0.003643

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Harlequin Collection + The Horizon Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

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How to build