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The Harlequin Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +1.29$

Invest 4.41$

Average return 5.69$

ROI +29.2%

Chance of profit 73%

With float: invest at least 10.73 $, profit at most −5.04 $

float premium: at least 6 $

To build: medium

A more profitable set was dropped: +2.04 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1599

0.21 $

at 0.21

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1599

0.22 $

at 0.22

Steam

×2

Nova | Wurst Hölle

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1732

0.60 $

at 0.30

Steam

×6

Glock-18 | Teal Graf

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0030

3.38 $

at 0.56

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4.41 $ +1.29 (+29.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0784

0.44 $

at 0.44

Steam

×4

Nova | Wurst Hölle

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1752

1.21 $

at 0.30

Steam

×5

Glock-18 | Teal Graf

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0033

2.82 $

at 0.56

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4.46 $ +1.01 (+22.7%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 73%
Losing outcome 27%

at a loss

worst

AUG | Eye of Zapems

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.072560

4.36 $ 26.67%

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7.27 $ 26.67%

Steam

in profit

XM1014 | Monster Melt

Factory New

float up to 0.064024

6.50 $ 26.67%

Steam

in profit

best

AWP | Exothermic

Factory New

float up to 0.059756

9.03 $ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Factory New

float up to 0.059756

8.08 $ 10.00%

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Field-Tested) × 1 4% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 0.21 → 0.44 $

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested) × 1 4% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 0.22 → 0.47 $

Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested) × 2 10% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 0.60 → 1.33 $

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) × 6 4% of the wear range fits at least ×2.51 3.38 → 8.48 $

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.085365754

outcomes come out up to 0.072560, 0.069999, 0.064024, 0.059756, 0.059756

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Harlequin Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.50 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1.00 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Harlequin Collection and The Overpass 2024 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3073218 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 1.66$ · invest 4.80$
P90 | Grim (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear), Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Field-Tested), UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested), Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested), Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New)
Craft 3063719 · The Chroma Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 1.61$ · invest 6.08$
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Grotto (Factory New), Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Field-Tested), UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested), Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested), Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New)
Craft 3076576 · The Harlequin Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 1.47$ · invest 4.39$
rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Field-Tested), UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested), Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested), Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New)
Craft 3062590 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 1.47$ · invest 4.19$
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred), M249 | Spectre (Factory New), Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Field-Tested), UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested), Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested), Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New)
Craft 3072223 · The Gallery Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 1.36$ · invest 4.03$
rare inputs

M249 | Hypnosis (Minimal Wear), Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Field-Tested), UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested), Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested), Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Harlequin Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

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How to build