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The Harlequin Collection + The Shadow Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −4.15$

Invest at least 10.02$

Average return 5.87$

ROI −41.5%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 10.02 $, profit at most −4.15 $

float premium: at least 6 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +2.35 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

0.87 $

at 0.44

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

1.83 $

at 0.46

Steam

×3

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

1.14 $

at 0.38

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

0.55 $

at 0.55

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4.39 $ +1.47 (+33.6%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 80%
Losing outcome 20%

in profit

best

AWP | Exothermic

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9.03 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8.08 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

Galil AR | Stone Cold

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.089999

5.36 $ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

2.30 $ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.061999

5.49 $ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Wingshot

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.089999

2.99 $ 10.00%

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear) × 2 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 0.87 → 1.93 $

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear) × 4 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 1.83 → 4.33 $

SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear) × 3 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 1.14 → 2.57 $

XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 0.55 → 1.19 $

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.099999900

outcomes come out up to 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.089999, 0.099999, 0.061999, 0.089999

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Harlequin Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.72 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1.14 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Harlequin Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3073218 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 1.66$ · invest 4.80$
P90 | Grim (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear); Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 2; Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074077 instead of 0.074103
Craft 3063719 · The Chroma Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 1.61$ · invest 6.08$
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Grotto (Factory New), UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear); Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 2; Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074216 instead of 0.074103
Craft 3062590 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 1.47$ · invest 4.19$
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred), M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear); Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 2; Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074030 instead of 0.074103; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074030 instead of 0.074103
Craft 3072223 · The Gallery Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 1.36$ · invest 4.03$
rare inputs

M249 | Hypnosis (Minimal Wear) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear); Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 2; Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074015 instead of 0.074103; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074015 instead of 0.074103
Craft 3076410 · The Harlequin Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 1.29$ · invest 4.41$
Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Field-Tested), UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested), Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested), Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Harlequin Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build