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The Harlequin Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −229.34₴

Invest at least 726.51₴

Average return 497.17₴

ROI −31.6%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 726.51 ₴, profit at most −229.34 ₴

float premium: at least 421 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +205.46 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

111.89 ₴

at 37.30

Steam

×6

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

159.23 ₴

at 26.54

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

34.25 ₴

at 34.25

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 305.37 ₴ +191.81 (+62.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

74.59 ₴

at 37.30

Steam

×3

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

79.62 ₴

at 26.54

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

171.25 ₴

at 34.25

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 325.45 ₴ +194.78 (+59.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

149.18 ₴

at 37.30

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1660

13.19 ₴

at 13.19

Steam

×5

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

132.69 ₴

at 26.54

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 295.07 ₴ +179.04 (+60.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

98.58 ₴

at 19.72

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

149.18 ₴

at 37.30

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

26.54 ₴

at 26.54

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 274.30 ₴ +84.53 (+30.8%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 85%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 15%

in profit

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

467.99 ₴ 23.33%

Steam

in profit

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

717.53 ₴ 23.33%

Steam

in profit

best

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.125799

768.36 ₴ 23.33%

Steam

in profit

AWP | Exothermic

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

407.69 ₴ 15.00%

Steam

about break-even

worst

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

364.59 ₴ 15.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Harlequin Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 only The Train 2025 Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +122.44 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +163.76 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Harlequin Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 11 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3063310 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 203.79₴ · invest 221.39₴
rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 6; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079400 instead of 0.075273
Craft 3064085 · The Chroma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 198.61₴ · invest 315.78₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Grotto (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074719 instead of 0.075273; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074719 instead of 0.075273
Craft 3056012 · The Ascent Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 194.49₴ · invest 311.00₴
P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080334 instead of 0.075273
Craft 3077325 · The Horizon Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 190.56₴ · invest 308.80₴
sells slowly rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear), Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 6; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074498 instead of 0.075273
Craft 3080729 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 186.10₴ · invest 233.11₴
Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 6; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079400 instead of 0.075273
Craft 3082455 · The Radiant Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 180.47₴ · invest 272.07₴
M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 6; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079400 instead of 0.075273
Craft 3046038 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 167.43₴ · invest 233.35₴
pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 6; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079400 instead of 0.075273
Craft 3056643 · The Bank Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 165.23₴ · invest 384.45₴
Desert Eagle | Meteorite (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 6; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078933 instead of 0.075273; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 1; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080520 instead of 0.075273
Craft 3074393 · The Gamma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 165.07₴ · invest 216.19₴
rare inputs

P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear), Nova | Exo (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 6; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075085 instead of 0.075273
Craft 3081665 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 164.91₴ · invest 204.09₴
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 6; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079400 instead of 0.075273
Craft 3056013 · The Ascent Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 162.10₴ · invest 262.50₴
MP9 | Cobalt Paisley (Minimal Wear), P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New), UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 6; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074287 instead of 0.075273

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Harlequin Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

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How to build