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The Phoenix Collection + The Radiant Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −281.65₴

Invest at least 612.33₴

Average return 330.67₴

ROI −46.0%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 612.33 ₴, profit at most −281.65 ₴

float premium: at least 346 ₴

To build: medium

A more profitable set was dropped: +75.14 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0820

77.74 ₴

at 25.91

Steam

×3

MP9 | Shredded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0792

54.18 ₴

at 18.06

Steam

×4

M4A1-S | Rose Hex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0027

132.86 ₴

at 33.21

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 264.77 ₴ +65.90 (+24.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0019

33.19 ₴

at 33.19

Steam

×4

MP9 | Shredded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0797

72.24 ₴

at 18.06

Steam

×5

M4A1-S | Rose Hex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0019

166.07 ₴

at 33.21

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 271.50 ₴ +64.55 (+23.8%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 38%
Losing outcome 54%
About break-even 8%

in profit

best

Desert Eagle | Mulberry

Factory New

float up to 0.041666

618.25 ₴ 23.33%

Steam

at a loss

M4A1-S | Glitched Paint

Factory New

float up to 0.037222

273.74 ₴ 23.33%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Bleeding Edge

Factory New

float up to 0.033333

276.64 ₴ 23.33%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Sergeant

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

453.00 ₴ 7.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MAC-10 | Heat

Factory New

float up to 0.055555

463.46 ₴ 7.50%

Steam

about break-even

SG 553 | Pulse

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.127777

301.54 ₴ 7.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

float up to 0.021111

216.61 ₴ 7.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Phoenix Collection + The Radiant Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 6 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +15.44 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +47.71 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Phoenix Collection and The Radiant Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3081783 · The Prisma Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 78.08₴ · invest 218.10₴
rare inputs

P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear), MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear); MP9 | Shredded (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 3; MP9 | Shredded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074420 instead of 0.079282; M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): 2 pcs instead of 4; M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): float at most 0.003868 instead of 0.002715
Craft 3073474 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 78.00₴ · invest 215.93₴
P90 | Grim (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear); MP9 | Shredded (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 3; MP9 | Shredded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074814 instead of 0.079282; M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): 2 pcs instead of 4; M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): float at most 0.004212 instead of 0.002715
Craft 3082319 · The Radiant Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 76.52₴ · invest 208.09₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear); MP9 | Shredded (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 3; MP9 | Shredded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075614 instead of 0.079282; M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): 2 pcs instead of 4; M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): float at most 0.004913 instead of 0.002715
Craft 3082401 · The Radiant Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 73.44₴ · invest 202.23₴
pricier variants exist

P250 | Small Game (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear); MP9 | Shredded (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 3; MP9 | Shredded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074197 instead of 0.079282; M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): 2 pcs instead of 4; M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): float at most 0.003673 instead of 0.002715
Craft 3072579 · The Gallery Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 71.21₴ · invest 188.83₴
rare inputs

M249 | Hypnosis (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear); MP9 | Shredded (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 3; MP9 | Shredded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074232 instead of 0.079282; M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): 1 pcs instead of 4; M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): float at most 0.003703 instead of 0.002715
Craft 3081014 · The Phoenix Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 70.60₴ · invest 249.04₴
rare inputs

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of nothing; FAMAS | Sergeant: Field-Tested instead of Minimal Wear; UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 3; UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075121 instead of 0.082065; MP9 | Shredded (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 3; MP9 | Shredded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075121 instead of 0.079282; M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 4; M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): float at most 0.004481 instead of 0.002715
Craft 3056569 · The Bank Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 69.38₴ · invest 233.10₴
CZ75-Auto | Tuxedo (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear); MP9 | Shredded (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 3; MP9 | Shredded (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074395 instead of 0.079282; M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): float at most 0.003846 instead of 0.002715

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Phoenix Collection + The Radiant Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build