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The Phoenix Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −431.83₽

Invest at least 1 730.89₽

Average return 1 299.05₽

ROI −24.9%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest at least 1 730.89 ₽, profit at most −431.83 ₽

float premium: at least 986 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +1 024.94 ₽ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

190.20 ₽

at 47.55

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

121.82 ₽

at 60.91

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

72.60 ₽

at 72.60

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

378.33 ₽

at 126.11

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 762.95 ₽ +536.10 (+70.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

332.85 ₽

at 47.55

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

60.91 ₽

at 60.91

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1643

72.60 ₽

at 72.60

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

126.11 ₽

at 126.11

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 592.47 ₽ +343.21 (+57.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

190.20 ₽

at 47.55

Steam

×1

MP9 | Dart

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

101.54 ₽

at 101.54

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

630.55 ₽

at 126.11

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 922.29 ₽ +740.13 (+80.2%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 20%
Losing outcome 65%
About break-even 15%

at a loss

FAMAS | Sergeant

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

831.28 ₽ 15.00%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

MAC-10 | Heat

Factory New

float up to 0.055555

850.49 ₽ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Pulse

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.127777

553.35 ₽ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

float up to 0.021111

397.50 ₽ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.032777

694.80 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.044444

7 455.61 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.037777

2 401.09 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Factory New

float up to 0.055555

438.67 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) × 4 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 190.20 → 449.82 ₽

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) × 2 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 121.82 → 269.22 ₽

MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested) × 1 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 72.60 → 156.82 ₽

UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) × 3 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 378.33 → 855.03 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.055555456

outcomes come out up to 0.149999, 0.055555, 0.127777, 0.021111, 0.032777, 0.044444, 0.037777, 0.055555

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Phoenix Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 5 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +257.63 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +421.50 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Phoenix Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 20 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3080758 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 674.60₽ · invest 703.27₽
rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162624 instead of 0.163624; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 3; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074391 instead of 0.074738
Craft 3083523 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 635.46₽ · invest 656.61₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Yorick (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163640 instead of 0.163624; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 3; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074744 instead of 0.074738
Craft 3080759 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 627.08₽ · invest 703.27₽
rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164343 instead of 0.163624; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 3; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074988 instead of 0.074738
Craft 3064100 · The Chroma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 622.34₽ · invest 920.93₽
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Quicksilver (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Grotto (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164908 instead of 0.163624; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 3; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075185 instead of 0.074738
Craft 3080757 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 604.02₽ · invest 623.81₽
rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163623 instead of 0.163624; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 3; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074738 instead of 0.074738
Craft 3046053 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 601.41₽ · invest 711.64₽
rare inputs pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.179489 instead of 0.163624; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 3; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.091827 instead of 0.074738
Craft 3084479 · The Snakebite Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 601.12₽ · invest 703.44₽
rare inputs

SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161747 instead of 0.163624; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074086 instead of 0.074738
Craft 3083524 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 599.32₽ · invest 692.07₽
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164343 instead of 0.163624; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 3; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074988 instead of 0.074738
Craft 3084787 · The Spectrum Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 584.40₽ · invest 701.36₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Zander (Minimal Wear), PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162899 instead of 0.163624; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 3; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074486 instead of 0.074738
Craft 3084786 · The Spectrum Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 583.97₽ · invest 752.96₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Zander (Minimal Wear), PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162568 instead of 0.163624; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074371 instead of 0.074738
Craft 3081265 · The Phoenix Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 576.85₽ · invest 761.21₽
rare inputs

FAMAS | Sergeant: Field-Tested instead of Minimal Wear; MAC-10 | Heat: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074027 instead of 0.074738; MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New): 4 pcs instead of 2; MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New): float at most 0.003524 instead of 0.004146; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161579 instead of 0.163624; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 3; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074027 instead of 0.074738
Craft 3082478 · The Radiant Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 574.01₽ · invest 754.62₽
rare inputs

P250 | Red Tide (Minimal Wear), M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161732 instead of 0.163624; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074080 instead of 0.074738
Craft 3059960 · The CS20 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 561.03₽ · invest 645.51₽
rare inputs

FAMAS | Decommissioned (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164456 instead of 0.163624; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 3; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075028 instead of 0.074738
Craft 3058839 · The Breakout Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 559.07₽ · invest 704.77₽
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163515 instead of 0.163624; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 3; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074700 instead of 0.074738
Craft 3084052 · The Shadow Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 557.20₽ · invest 748.40₽
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161700 instead of 0.163624; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 3; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074069 instead of 0.074738
Craft 3059961 · The CS20 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 553.50₽ · invest 592.00₽
rare inputs

FAMAS | Decommissioned (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162989 instead of 0.163624; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 3; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074518 instead of 0.074738
Craft 3082123 · The Prisma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 540.51₽ · invest 772.94₽
rare inputs

P250 | Verdigris (Minimal Wear), MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162855 instead of 0.163624; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 3; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074471 instead of 0.074738
Craft 3081678 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 538.69₽ · invest 605.99₽
rare inputs

MP5-SD | Desert Strike (Minimal Wear), R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164337 instead of 0.163624; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 3; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074986 instead of 0.074738
Craft 3074408 · The Gamma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 535.81₽ · invest 635.86₽
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear), Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162898 instead of 0.163624; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 3; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074486 instead of 0.074738
Craft 3084644 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 514.35₽ · invest 531.13₽
rare inputs

AUG | Triqua (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162328 instead of 0.163624; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 3; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074288 instead of 0.074738

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Phoenix Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build