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The Shadow Collection + The Vanguard Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −1 016.39₽

Invest at least 2 379.85₽

Average return 1 363.45₽

ROI −42.7%

Chance of profit 10%

With float: invest at least 2 379.85 ₽, profit at most −1 016.39 ₽

float premium: at least 1 336 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +381.17 ₽ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Scumbria

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1616

45.69 ₽

at 45.69

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

375.90 ₽

at 75.18

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

442.20 ₽

at 147.40

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MP9 | Dart

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

163.57 ₽

at 163.57

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 027.36 ₽ +336.09 (+32.7%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 35%
Losing outcome 65%

in profit

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 568.55 ₽ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077777

516.85 ₽ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.048222

833.30 ₽ 15.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 079.94 ₽ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.037888

751.23 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.062222

2 510.05 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.052888

4 413.47 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077777

507.00 ₽ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Scumbria (Field-Tested) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 45.69 → 98.69 ₽

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear) × 5 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.47 375.90 → 928.47 ₽

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) × 3 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 442.20 → 999.37 ₽

StatTrak™ MP9 | Dart (Factory New) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 163.57 → 353.31 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.077777678

outcomes come out up to 0.069999, 0.077777, 0.048222, 0.069999, 0.037888, 0.062222, 0.052888, 0.077777

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 5 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +105.47 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +294.55 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Shadow Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build