The Dead Hand Collection + The Fever Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit +97 829.25₸

Invest 351 247.61₸

Average return 449 076.86₸

ROI +27.9%

Chance of profit 55%

With float: invest at least 789 732.85 ₸, profit at most −340 655.99 ₸

float premium: at least 449 028 ₸

To build: medium

A more profitable set was dropped: +167 887.55 ₸ по средним

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −32 229 ₸

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 2.7% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −204 328.03 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

6% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×3

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0183

269 512.23 ₸

at 89 837.41

Steam

×2

FAMAS | Bad Trip

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0063

81 735.39 ₸

at 40 867.69

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 351 247.61 ₸ +97 829.25 (+27.9%)

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 1.8% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −73 142 ₸

8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 1 contract · medium (by listings)

×2

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0135

179 674.82 ₸

at 89 837.41

Steam

×3

FAMAS | Bad Trip

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0135

122 603.08 ₸

at 40 867.69

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 302 277.90 ₸ +27 770.95 (+9.2%)

What you get 50 outcomes

Profitable outcome 52%
Losing outcome 43%
About break-even 3%
Above the Steam cap 3%

Order

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Crane

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

600 122.46 ₸ 2.73%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Flowers

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

922 390.64 ₸ 2.73%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Dragon Fists

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

775 726.87 ₸ 2.73%

price without deals

Steam

★ Driver Gloves | Garden

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 2.73%

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Hand Sweaters

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

688 278.66 ₸ 2.73%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Plum Quill

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

439 733.59 ₸ 2.73%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Seigaiha

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

542 844.51 ₸ 2.73%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Wave Chaser

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

789 311.03 ₸ 2.73%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Lime Polycam

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

808 830.62 ₸ 2.73%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Cloud Chaser

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

668 597.12 ₸ 2.73%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Blackbook

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

632 860.21 ₸ 2.73%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

about break-even

★ Specialist Gloves | Chocolate Chesterfield

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

368 678.38 ₸ 2.73%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Specialist Gloves | Pillow Punchers

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 013 029.25 ₸ 2.73%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Sunburst

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

642 889.20 ₸ 2.73%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Big Swell

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

542 839.37 ₸ 2.73%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Violet Beadwork

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

728 001.85 ₸ 2.73%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Frosty

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

785 546.42 ₸ 2.73%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Blaze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

389 034.87 ₸ 2.73%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Creme Pinstripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

332 484.59 ₸ 2.73%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Red Racer

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

610 696.82 ₸ 2.73%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Ultra Violent

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 909 889.82 ₸ 2.73%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Occult

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

770 632.84 ₸ 2.73%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Survival Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

96 146.03 ₸ 1.43%

pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Survival Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

68 777.94 ₸ 1.43%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Survival Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

50 654.20 ₸ 1.43%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Survival Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

38 841.80 ₸ 1.43%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Survival Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

23 269.72 ₸ 1.43%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Survival Knife | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

77 962.31 ₸ 1.43%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Paracord Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

92 429.98 ₸ 1.43%

pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Paracord Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

66 001.23 ₸ 1.43%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Paracord Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

51 583.75 ₸ 1.43%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Paracord Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

34 892.40 ₸ 1.43%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Paracord Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

23 224.49 ₸ 1.43%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Paracord Knife | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

178 999.59 ₸ 1.43%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Nomad Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

212 779.60 ₸ 1.43%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Nomad Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

124 793.55 ₸ 1.43%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Nomad Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

98 645.96 ₸ 1.43%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Nomad Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

69 101.05 ₸ 1.43%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Nomad Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

61 695.39 ₸ 1.43%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Nomad Knife | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

221 093.52 ₸ 1.43%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

316 658.00 ₸ 1.43%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Skeleton Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

200 886.31 ₸ 1.43%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Skeleton Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

174 179.13 ₸ 1.43%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Skeleton Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

130 145.52 ₸ 1.43%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Skeleton Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

90 216.23 ₸ 1.43%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Skeleton Knife | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

206 188.46 ₸ 1.43%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Paracord Knife

no wear

25 127.63 ₸ 1.43%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Survival Knife

no wear

26 273.40 ₸ 1.43%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Nomad Knife

no wear

61 068.62 ₸ 1.43%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Skeleton Knife

no wear

114 344.66 ₸ 1.43%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New) × 3 26% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 269 512.23 → 609 097.63 ₸

FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New) × 2 9% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 81 735.39 → 180 635.20 ₸

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.013513414

outcomes come out up to 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Fever Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 3 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 4 only The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Clutch Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 6 The Revolution Collection instead of The Fever Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +90 970.88 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +95 325.61 ₸ historical median

5% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Fever Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Fever Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 50 outcomes

More

How to build