The CS20 Collection + The Breakout Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit −4 191.93₴

Invest 16 562.23₴

Average return 12 370.29₴

ROI −25.3%

Chance of profit 26%

With float: invest at least 36 321.47 ₴, profit at most −23 951.18 ₴

float premium: at least 19 183 ₴

To build: no data

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 12.3% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −8 803.34 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items

Buy on Sell on

How to build

share of fitting lots unknown assemble: no data

×1

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4635

1 772.89 ₴

at 1 772.89

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.2123

5 470.65 ₴

at 1 823.55

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3989

9 318.69 ₴

at 9 318.69

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 16 562.23 ₴ −4 191.93 (−25.3%)

What you get 26 outcomes

Profitable outcome 26%
Losing outcome 62%
Above the Steam cap 12%

Order

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.042162

26 168.76 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Slaughter

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.141756

11 508.11 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Blue Steel

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.527026

6 769.42 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Stained

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.527026

5 535.11 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Case Hardened

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.527026

8 574.39 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

5 174.20 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

5 301.16 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Crimson Web

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

11 708.84 ₴ 6.15%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Scorched

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

3 788.47 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Night Stripe

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

5 206.24 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Urban Masked

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife

no wear

7 380.63 ₴ 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.042162

83 692.11 ₴ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.141756

52 704.69 ₴ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.527026

31 544.29 ₴ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Stained

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.527026

40 932.98 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.527026

42 419.94 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

26 625.66 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

28 881.73 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

26 444.86 ₴ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Night

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

38 490.90 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Scorched

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

28 200.55 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Safari Mesh

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

18 502.38 ₴ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

32 799.20 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife

no wear

46 134.99 ₴ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred) × 1 27% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 1 772.89 → 3 829.43 ₴

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Field-Tested) × 3 27% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 5 470.65 → 12 363.66 ₴

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Well-Worn) × 1 27% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 9 318.69 → 20 128.38 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.527026927

outcomes come out up to 0.042162, 0.141756, 0.527026, 0.527026, 0.527026, 0.449999, 0.449999, 0.449999, 0.449999, 0.449999, 0.449999, 0.449999, 0.000000, 0.042162, 0.141756, 0.527026, 0.527026, 0.527026, 0.449999, 0.449999, 0.449999, 0.449999, 0.449999, 0.449999, 0.449999, 0.000000

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

No other variants in this recount

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −5 267.27 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −4 277.43 ₴ historical median

8% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The CS20 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3088456 · The Breakout Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −4 191.93₴ · invest 16 562.23₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 3088895 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −4 421.22₴ · invest 13 983.69₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.459395 instead of 0.463562; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Field-Tested): float at most 0.193217 instead of 0.212387
Craft 3088901 · The CS20 Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit −4 421.22₴ · invest 13 983.69₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.459395 instead of 0.463562; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Field-Tested): float at most 0.193217 instead of 0.212387

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The CS20 Collection + The Breakout Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 26 outcomes

More

How to build