The Wildfire Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit −66 184.88₸

Invest 167 379.59₸

Average return 101 194.72₸

ROI −39.5%

Chance of profit 16%

With float: invest at least 369 157.06 ₸, profit at most −267 962.34 ₸

float premium: at least 190 255 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 12.3% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −70 677.15 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×3

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

76 171.47 ₸

at 25 390.49

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

53 206.07 ₸

at 53 206.07

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1694

38 002.05 ₸

at 38 002.05

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 167 379.59 ₸ −66 184.88 (−39.5%)

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 9.2% of the chance

≈2% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×1

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0828

25 390.49 ₸

at 25 390.49

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0112

106 412.14 ₸

at 53 206.07

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1869

76 004.10 ₸

at 38 002.05

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 207 806.73 ₸ −96 048.09 (−46.2%)

What you get 43 outcomes

Profitable outcome 10%
Losing outcome 71%
About break-even 6%
Above the Steam cap 12%

Order

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.008615

129 817.28 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.036923

313 520.05 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.107692

130 055.06 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.107692

88 315.06 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.107692

197 490.15 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139692

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139692

62 272.83 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139692

169 338.40 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139692

91 772.51 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139692

68 535.07 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139692

40 867.69 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139692

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife

no wear

62 946.63 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.008615

687 596.50 ₸ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.051692

516 509.44 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Lore

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.107692

670 130.61 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.091538

565 463.75 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.107692

403 471.63 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.053846

472 970.62 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.008615

137 885.49 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.051692

61 068.62 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

106 251.33 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Autotronic

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.091538

84 998.75 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Black Laminate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.107692

42 291.12 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.053846

50 912.96 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.008615

54 546.25 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.051692

37 066.87 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Lore

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.107692

40 422.66 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Autotronic

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.091538

34 413.93 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Black Laminate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.107692

30 153.16 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.053846

34 413.93 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.008615

124 405.39 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.051692

46 702.22 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Lore

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.107692

83 360.05 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Autotronic

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.091538

58 382.31 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Black Laminate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.107692

39 090.62 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.053846

47 501.33 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.008615

116 764.78 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.051692

46 819.83 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

104 242.59 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Autotronic

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.091538

68 535.07 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Black Laminate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.107692

48 229.65 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.053846

47 113.93 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear) × 3 8% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 76 171.47 → 172 147.53 ₸

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New) × 1 8% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 53 206.07 → 114 925.11 ₸

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Field-Tested) × 1 8% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 38 002.05 → 82 084.43 ₸

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.107692208

outcomes come out up to 0.008615, 0.036923, 0.107692, 0.107692, 0.107692, 0.139692, 0.139692, 0.139692, 0.139692, 0.139692, 0.139692, 0.139692, 0.000000, 0.008615, 0.051692, 0.107692, 0.091538, 0.107692, 0.053846, 0.008615, 0.051692, 0.069999, 0.091538, 0.107692, 0.053846, 0.008615, 0.051692, 0.107692, 0.091538, 0.107692, 0.053846, 0.008615, 0.051692, 0.107692, 0.091538, 0.107692, 0.053846, 0.008615, 0.051692, 0.069999, 0.091538, 0.107692, 0.053846

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Wildfire Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection

Variant 2 The Gamma Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −75 318.22 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −67 693.95 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Operation Riptide Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3092404 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −66 184.85₸ · invest 167 379.59₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 3092390 · The Wildfire Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit −66 529.27₸ · invest 167 379.59₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Lore: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Lore: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.084556 instead of 0.076756; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.012736 instead of 0.005912; StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Field-Tested): float at most 0.191849 instead of 0.169425
Craft 3092405 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −66 529.27₸ · invest 167 379.59₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Lore: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Lore: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Field-Tested): float at most 0.191849 instead of 0.169425; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.084556 instead of 0.076756; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.012736 instead of 0.005912

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Wildfire Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 43 outcomes

More

How to build